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Weather alert: Heavy rains and possible flooding are returning to South Florida

Commuters drive through flooded roadways on Southwest 67th Avenue as heavy and torrential downpours from strong thunderstorms swept through South Florida on Sept. 9, 2025.
Commuters drive through flooded roadways on Southwest 67th Avenue as heavy and torrential downpours from strong thunderstorms swept through South Florida on Sept. 9, 2025. pportal@miamiherald.com

More rain is on the way, South Florida. And it’s not going anywhere for a while.

Widespread rainfall swelling to 1 to 3 inches through Sunday morning are forecast by the National Weather Service in Miami, with a reasonable higher end in the 3 to 4-plus inche range. Locally, higher amounts remain possible, the service said Thursday morning.

Yes, ESPN’s nationally broadcast college football pregame show on the University of Miami’s Coral Gables campus Saturday morning would look so glorious under the sun. And clear skies would also look good Saturday evening when the No. 4 Hurricanes host the Florida Gators at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens.

But, sigh: It’s a 60% rain chance day and night Saturday, according to the National Weather Service in Miami.

The weather service forecasts near 40% at the start of “Game Day” and about 50% at kickoff Saturday, with temperature highs just above 80 and the highest thunderstorm activity expected between 3 and about 7 p.m.

Meanwhile, the forecast calls for mostly sunny skies Saturday on the UF campus in Gainesville.

MORE: A look at Hurricanes’ College GameDay history, from appearances to guest pickers

Fans cheer during ESPN's College GameDay at the University of Miami in Coral Gables on Saturday, Nov. 11, 2017. The event took place a few hours before the University of Miami faced Notre Dame at Hard Rock Stadium.
Fans cheer during ESPN's College GameDay at the University of Miami in Coral Gables on Saturday, Nov. 11, 2017. The event took place a few hours before the University of Miami faced Notre Dame at Hard Rock Stadium. MATIAS J. OCNER mocner@miamiherald.com

MORE: Tropical Storm Gabrielle forms. Here’s where the forecast track takes it

The South Florida forecast is a concern for its effect on traffic and your outdoor activity plans — but yet again, after what seemed a drier than usual summer, we will get plenty of water for our lawns and outdoor plants.

Temperatures will run from the mid-80s down to the upper-70s on overcast days, with “feels-like” temperatures mid-days at 90 around noon.

For Thursday, the weather service forecast calls for an 80% chance of rain, starting in the morning and increasing later with possible flooding.

“Widespread storms will be likely into the afternoon and evening,” said meteorologist Lissette Gonzalez of CBS News Miami.

Escaping to the Florida Keys? You’ll also face days of wet weather with a stretch of showers and thunderstorms moving along the Straits, Gulf and nearshore waters of the Upper and Middle Keys before settling into a rainy weekend pattern.

Boaters in the Upper Keys can expect wind gusts near 20 knots amid bouts of heavy downpours reducing visibility. Cloud to surface lightning strikes are possible, the Key West service said Thursday. Island communities between Lower Matecumbe Key and Ocean Reef can expect up to an additional quarter of an inch of rainfall.

Lightning risk map for Florida on Thursday, Sept. 18, 2025. The NWS forecast holds into Friday.
Lightning risk map for Florida on Thursday, Sept. 18, 2025. The NWS forecast holds into Friday. National Weather Service in Miami
@howard.cohen2024 Me: finishes swim practice 🏊 → UM weather: ‘Hold my beer’ ☔ #UMiami #MiamiWeather #puddles #FloridaProblems 🤣 @University of Miami @hurricaneaquatics @UMiami School of Communication #creatorsearchinsights ♬ original sound - HOWARD COHEN

This story was originally published September 17, 2025 at 11:43 AM.

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Howard Cohen
Miami Herald
Miami Herald consumer trends reporter Howard Cohen, a 2017 Media Excellence Awards winner, has covered pop music, theater, health and fitness, obituaries, municipal government, breaking news and general assignment. He started his career in the Features department at the Miami Herald in 1991. Cohen is an adjunct professor at the University of Miami School of Communication. Support my work with a digital subscription
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