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Will Miami break a heat record under an extreme weather alert? What the forecast says

Aaron McElwain, 13, drinks some water after riding his scooter at Haulover Skateboard Park on Wednesday, June 14, 2023, in Miami Beach, Fla. Miami-Dade County issued a heat advisory for residents after the National Weather Service estimated the heat index would reach between 105 and 108 degrees.
Aaron McElwain, 13, drinks some water after riding his scooter at Haulover Skateboard Park on Wednesday, June 14, 2023, in Miami Beach, Fla. Miami-Dade County issued a heat advisory for residents after the National Weather Service estimated the heat index would reach between 105 and 108 degrees. mocner@miamiherald.com

South Florida could break a hot temperature record on Friday.

Forecasters are calling for a high of 95 in the early afternoon. If the mercury hits that mark, it will break a record set on this date on June 16, 2011, according to National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s climatological daily records.

The record low for this day, by comparison, was 80 degrees on June 16, 1984.

Ah, for the 80s!

Heat advisory

South Florida remains under a heat advisory until 7 p.m. Friday. The advisory was issued and extended on Wednesday, the first time the National Weather Service in Miami used its new lower threshold that forecasters and Miami-Dade officials approved in May.

READ MORE: Miami-Dade hit with first heat advisory day — and it’s only June. What will summer hold?

@miamiherald

Put away the umbrellas and slather on some sunscreen as South Florida endures blistering temperatures this week, with a hot summer well on the way. It felt like over 100 degrees Monday, nearly breaking local records — and the heat won’t stop. How hot are we talking about? ️ Michelle Marchante and Devoun Cetoute National Weather Service, Miami Fire Rescue, Sam Navarro

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The Florida Keys’ heat advisory is until 5 p.m. Friday, especially between the hours of noon and 4 p.m., with an index of 106 to 110.

KNOW MORE: Tips on how to stay safe from the sweltering heat

Father’s Day forecast

These figures are for Miami-Dade and Broward:

Friday: A 40% chance of afternoon thunderstorms and a heat index of 106, maybe higher.

Saturday: A 70% thunderstorm chance and a heat index of 103, with a high around 90. Wind gusts around 20 mph.

Sunday Father’s Day: Showers and thunderstorms likely, around and after 11 a.m., at 70%, with highs in the upper 80s.

Monday Juneteenth: Similar to Sunday, with storm chance at 60%.

Florida Keys: Monroe County can expect less chances for rain. Minimal Friday, 20% to 30% through Monday.

Even with an aerator working hard to cool off the waters of the University of Miami’s competitive 50-meter outdoor pool, a high heat index and temperatures in the 90s made it hard to beat the heat on June 15, 2023.
Even with an aerator working hard to cool off the waters of the University of Miami’s competitive 50-meter outdoor pool, a high heat index and temperatures in the 90s made it hard to beat the heat on June 15, 2023. Howard Cohen hcohen@miamiherald.com

Traveling through Florida?

Driving up to Orlando for Father’s Day weekend?

Here’s what the National Weather Service in Melbourne says: Isolated to scattered thunderstorms, some of which could be strong to marginally severe, across all of east Central Florida on Friday. Storm threats include gusty wind to 50 mph or more, coin-sized hail and torrential downpours, with “a small risk of brief tornado.”

Low- to mid-90s highs and combined with high humidity, the heat index will range between 100 and 106 degrees.

Storm chances remain over 60% to 70% through Monday in the Orlando area.

This story was originally published June 16, 2023 at 10:58 AM.

Howard Cohen
Miami Herald
Miami Herald consumer trends reporter Howard Cohen, a 2017 Media Excellence Awards winner, has covered pop music, theater, health and fitness, obituaries, municipal government, breaking news and general assignment. He started his career in the Features department at the Miami Herald in 1991. Cohen is an adjunct professor at the University of Miami School of Communication. Support my work with a digital subscription
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