Greg Cote

NFL Thursday: Slumping Tampa Bay in playoff fight, needs a win vs. Atlanta. Our pick

GREG COTE’S NFL WEEK 15 THURSDAY PICK

FALCONS (4-9) at BUCCANEERS (7-6)

Line: TB by 4 1/2.

Cote’s pick: TB, 24-21.

TV: 8:15 p.m., Prime Video.

Among this year’s many NFL mysteries: Who is Tampa Bay? Is it the Buccaneers who were sailing at 5-1 and 6-2 ... or the team that has withered since? With that reverse gear caused by Baker Mayfield’s struggles and bad red-zone defense, TB now finds itself in an NFC South mutt-fight with Carolina in a winner-take-all division that likely won’t see the runner-up with a wild-card spot. Mayfield’s downturn will face another challenge in a blitz-heavy Falcs D that’s third in league in sacks. All of it puts newly eliminated Atlanta in a perfect spoiler role and suited for it, especially if WR Drake London is back as seems expected. Falcons lost season opener to Bucs 23-20 but have won four of past six in series — and two straight trips to Tampa. I’m going to ride desperation and the home field to a needed Tampa win, but lean into ATL with points on the cover to christen Week 15.

Betting line courtesy DraftKings as of Wednesday afternoon.

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Greg Cote
Miami Herald
Greg Cote is a Miami Herald sports columnist who in 2025 won a first-place Green Eyeshade award in Sports Commentary and has finished top 10 in column writing by the Associated Press Sports Editors on multiple occasions. Greg also hosts The Greg Cote Show podcast and appears regularly on The Dan LeBatard Show With Stugotz.
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