Hurricane Erin weakens to Category 3. Take a look at the storm’s projected path
Hurricane Erin remained a Category 3 storm Sunday evening after downgrading from a Category 5 a day earlier — and continues on a path projected to miss Florida and the rest of the U.S. East Coast.
Still, the Bahamas, Bermuda and the North Carolina outer banks should keep watching Erin’s movements, the National Hurricane Center warned during an 8 p.m. Sunday advisory.
Life-threatening surf and rip currents are likely across the U.S. Eastern seaboard as Erin is forecast to again become a “very large hurricane.”
Where Erin is and where Erin is expected to go: Erin is about 310 miles northwest of San Juan, Puerto Rico, and 155 miles east-northeast of Grand Turk Island. It’s moving west-northwest at 13 mph.
“This general motion is expected tonight, followed by a gradual turn to the northwest and north on Monday and Tuesday,” the hurricane center said. “On the forecast track, the core of Erin is expected to pass to the east and northeast of the Turks and Caicos Islands and the southeastern Bahamas tonight into Monday.”
Erin’s strength: Erin’s maximum sustained winds are 125 mph, making it a strong Category 3 hurricane. Hurricane-force winds extend 50 miles from the center. Tropical storm force winds (at least 39 mph) extend 205 miles from Erin’s center.
“Some increase in size and strength is forecast during the next 48 hours,” the hurricane center said.
Watches and warnings: The Southeast Bahamas and the Turks and Caicos Islands are under a tropical storm warning. There’s a tropical storm watch for the southeast Bahamas.
“Tropical storm conditions are expected in the Turks and Caicos Islands beginning tonight,” the hurricane center said. “Tropical storm conditions are expected in the southeast Bahamas late tonight and Monday.”
Hazards: Heavy rains — 2 to 4 inches most places, 6 inches in a few spots — are expected to drench Puerto Rico, Turks and Caicos and the Eastern Bahamas through Tuesday.
Also, this isn’t a day for safe surfing. Erin will create swells creating “life-threatening surf and rip currents” in Puerto Rico, the Virgin Islands, Turks and Caicos, the Hispaniola island that will spread to the U.S. East Coast, Atlantic coast of Canada, the Bahamas, and Bermuda in the coming days.
READ MORE: What will Florida feel from Erin
Next advisory: A full advisory will come at 11 p.m.
This story was originally published August 16, 2025 at 12:24 PM.
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