When will we see the worst weather during a rainy week? Check Miami predictions
South Florida is forecast to get a bunch of rain in three days — Tuesday through Thursday. Storms may dump up to four to six inches on the region, according to the National Weather Service in Miami.
You may already have dodged a deluge on Tuesday morning. And South Florida is under a flood watch that was extended through 10 p.m. Wednesday.
But there are patches of sun, too.
So, is there a peak time when the chances for rain are highest so you can try and plan around the worst?
Here’s what we know:
Peak rain chances
These are the times of day when the rain chance is highest this week:
- Tuesday: Peak rain chance is at 5 p.m. at 85%. The weather service considers this period that extends through the 6 p.m. hour to be an almost definite chance for showers and likely thunderstorms. By 7 p.m., the percentage dips to a still likely rain chance around 52%. Skies start to clear overnight into the teens and single-digit rain chance around midnight for a few hours into the early morning. Your backyard plants say, “Thank you.”
- Wednesday: Rains pick up again at a likely 52% chance from 7 a.m. through 2 p.m. Then things hit the crescendo for a five-hour peak run from 2 p.m. to 7 p.m. That’s when there’s about a 73% chance of downpours and a chance of thunderstorms. A stretch of rain over 50% continues from 8 p.m. Wednesday to 1 a.m. Thursday. Your backyard plants are saying, “I’m getting full. Give me a break?”
- Thursday: A 61% chance run from 8 a.m. to 1 p.m. means your morning commute is still going to be a test of patience. Then the peak at 2 p.m. continues through the afternoon rush hour to 7 p.m. Thunderstorms are also possible. Your plants are now taking scuba lessons. By 8 p.m. there’s a 12-hour stretch of a slight chance, from 24% down to 14%.
- Friday: Rain chances resume at 8 a.m. but only around 27%. The peak hours run from 1 p.m. to 7 p.m. at a manageable at 30%. The plants, if they haven’t drowned, are ready for some sunshine.
- Saturday: Just a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms aren’t likely. Peak hours are 2 p.m.-7 p.m. at 16%.
- Sunday: Lives up to its name. Breezy and mostly sunny. Maybe a beach day as a treat — unless the mid-week rip currents resurface.
This story was originally published April 7, 2026 at 1:29 PM.
Howard Cohen
Miami Herald