A disturbance could form in the Caribbean Sea this week, hurricane forecasters say
By Michelle Marchante and
Devoun Cetoute
An area of low pressure is forecast to develop over the southwestern Caribbean Sea later this week, according to the National Hurricane Center.
Forecasters say the disturbance could form during the next couple of days. If the system does form, it could gradually develop as it slowly moves northwest toward Central America, according to a hurricane center advisory at 2 p.m. Tuesday.
It has a 0% chance of formation in the next 48 hours and a 20% chance within the next five days.
Regardless of development, this system could produce heavy rainfall across northern Colombia and portions of Central America from Honduras southward later this week and into the weekend.
June 1 was the first official day of the hurricane season — even though we already saw Tropical Storm Ana form near Bermuda last month. Forecasters are predicting another “above average” season this year, although we shouldn’t see as many storms as the record-breaking season in 2020.
Michelle Marchante covers the pulse of healthcare in South Florida and also the City of Coral Gables. Before that, she covered the COVID-19 pandemic, hurricanes, crime, education, entertainment and other topics in South Florida for the Herald as a breaking news reporter. She recently won first place in the health reporting category in the 2025 Sunshine State Awards for her coverage of Steward Health’s bankruptcy. An investigative series about the abrupt closure of a Miami heart transplant program led Michelle and her colleagues to be recognized as finalists in two 2024 Florida Sunshine State Award categories. She also won second place in the 73rd annual Green Eyeshade Awards for her consumer-focused healthcare stories and was part of the team of reporters who won a 2022 Pulitzer Prize for the Miami Herald’s breaking news coverage of the Surfside building collapse. Michelle graduated with honors from Florida International University and was a 2025 National Press Foundation Covering Workplace Mental Health fellow and a 2020-2021 Poynter-Koch Media & Journalism fellow. Support my work with a digital subscription
