There’s a disturbance out there. The chances it develops into something more? Not zero
UPDATE: Tropical disturbance brings a change in the forecast for South Florida
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A disturbance in the Caribbean could drop serious rain on Puerto Rico, Haiti and the Dominican Republic by midweek before proceeding to South Florida, according to the National Weather Service’s forecast
But the chances it gets to South Florida as more than the garden variety summer storm are minimal. The service’s Tropical Weather Outlook puts the chance of the disturbance forming into even a tropical depression at 10 percent by midday Tuesday and only 20 percent by midday Friday.
The 8 p.m. update from the National Hurricane Center says not much development is expected while the “persistent area of cloudiness and thunderstorms” is over land. Once over the Straits of Florida or the Bahamas, however, “conditions could be a little more conducive for development to occur.”
As for the NWS projections on regular weather, look for highs in the high 80s to 90 degrees but with a chance of rain only at 20 percent in the next few days for Miami. Other than the heat, which could reach heat indexes of 102 to 108 degrees, no hazardous weather is expected.
This story was originally published July 28, 2019 at 3:11 PM.
