Greg Cote

Greg Cote’s Thursday NFL pick: Cowboys vs. Bears

COWBOYS (8-4) at BEARS (5-7)

Line: DAL by 3 1/2.

Cote’s pick: CHI 30-27.

TV: 8:25 p.m., NFL.

NFL Week 14 sets sails with what looks to be a big-scoring NFC match between teams trying to rebound from indigestion-causing Thanksgiving defeats. Bears have plainly disappointed and Cowboys suddenly are bumped off the playoff grid and desperate. Dallas would be the pick if incentive and desperation were everything, but I have a gut feeling about Chicago here. Bears have won three in a row over ’Boys, including 45-28 at the Soldier last December. Tony Romo’s guys carry in a 5-0 road mark, but that just means the law of averages are due. I think Matt Forte and Chitown’s underperforming ground game could get a needed goose from a Cows run-D beaten for 256 yards by Eagles last week. Dallas also faces a wandering eye here, with division rival Philly on its schedule again Dec. 14. Upset!