Greg Cote

Greg Cote’s Thursday NFL pick: Colts over Texans 24-17

Indianapolis Colts' Andrew Luck (12) throws as Houston Texans' J.J. Watt (99) applies pressure during the first quarter Thursday, Oct. 9, 2014, in Houston.
Indianapolis Colts' Andrew Luck (12) throws as Houston Texans' J.J. Watt (99) applies pressure during the first quarter Thursday, Oct. 9, 2014, in Houston. AP

COLTS (2-2) at TEXANS (1-3)

Line: OFF.

Cote’s pick: IND 24-17.

TV: 8:25 p.m. Thursday, CBS/NFL (airing in South Florida).

An arcane little piece of the Dolphins’ Glory Days legacy is in play here. Miami in 1972-73 set the NFL record with 15 consecutive division wins, a mark Indy tied last week and would break by winning Thursday night. The Week 5 kick-starter was off the betting boards because of Colts QB Andrew Luck being questionable again after sitting out last week with a sore shoulder. I’m told if Luck were a certainty, the line would be pick-’em or perhaps Houston by one point. My selection here presumes Luck will play, which seems likely. Just as important, it presumes the Texans (despite J.J. Watt) will continue to be less than special defensively. Game marks Colts WR Andre Johnson’s debut against his exes, and I think he’ll leave happy. HOU has given up the sixth-most points in the league and has a struggling QB in Ryan Mallett — not things that suggest the imminent end of Indy’s dominant division streak.

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