Greg Cote

Let’s unwrap 2 Christmas Day NFL games and another Thursday night. Our picks for all 3 holiday games

GREG COTE’S NFL WEEK 17 CHRISTMAS & THURSDAY PICKS

CHIEFS (14-1) at STEELERS (10-5)

Line: KC by 2 1/12.

Cote’s pick: KC, 24-18..

TV: 1 p.m. Wednesday, Netflix.

[Playoff impact: KC has clinched division but not yet No. 1 seed. PIT has clinched playoffs but not yet division..] Chiefs sew up top AFC seed with a win in Wednesday’s early game or a loss by Buffalo on Sunday. Both teams are playing on three days’ rest, so will quality of play suffer? Weather shouldn’t be a factor; expected in the 30s, like a K.C. summer for this timer of year. Patrick Mahomes is 14-1 on TDs/INTs in three career games vs. Pittsburgh and Chiefs are 4-0 winning and covering when favored by three or less this year. If you’re still doubting K-City, that’s on you.

RAVENS (10-5) at TEXANS (9-6)

Line: BAL by 5 1/2.

Cote’s pick: BAL, 27-20.

TV: 4:30 p.m. Wednesday, Netflix.

[Playoff impact: BAL has clinched playoffs but not yet division. HOU has clinched division.] Wednesday’s late game is another three days’ rest affair for both, so anything goers. A possible playoff preview based on seeding, but BAL has chance to take lead in AFC North with a win. Ravens WR Zay Flowers is iffy, but C.J. Stroud will be missing top target Tank Dell -- a huge loss. Lamar Jackson has been good all season, and better lately. HOU getting this many points at home tempts, but I’ll unwrap L-Jack on Christmas and call it a gift.

SEAHAWKS (8-7) at BEARS (4-11)

Line: SEA by 3 1/2.

Cote’s pick: SEA, 23-16.

TV: 8:15 p.m. Thursday, Prime Video.

[Playoff impact: SEA is alive but has not yet clinched. CHI is eliminated.] Let’s not pretend Thursday prime-time is delivering a great matcup, although Seattle still has a shot at NFC West title with a win. Seahawks are better on road (5-1) than Chitown is at home. Bears offense has stalled and the coaching change hasn’t helped. Seattle needs to get its run-game working, but Geno Smith with playoff stakes in play should be enough to outscore the toothless Bears.

Betting lines courtesy ESPNBet as of Tuesday afternoon.

Greg Cote
Miami Herald
Greg Cote is a Miami Herald sports columnist who in 2025 won a first-place Green Eyeshade award in Sports Commentary and has finished top 10 in column writing by the Associated Press Sports Editors on multiple occasions. Greg also hosts The Greg Cote Show podcast and appears regularly on The Dan LeBatard Show With Stugotz.
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