Greg Cote

NFL Thursday: Will Ravens hand Bucs’ Tom Brady his first 3-game losing streak in 20 years? Our pick

Tom Brady en acción contra Miami Dolphins en Tampa Bay el 10 de octubre de 2021.
Tom Brady en acción contra Miami Dolphins en Tampa Bay el 10 de octubre de 2021. AP

NFL WEEK 8

GREG COTE’S THURSDAY PICK

RAVENS (4-3) at BUCCANEERS (3-4)

Line: BAL by 1.

Cote’s pick: TB, 30-24. Upset!

TV: 8:15 p.m. Thursday, Prime Video.

Quick as a blindside hit, Tom Brady’s perfect life is closer to a perfect mess. He finds himself in the throes of an apparent bitter divorce while on the field he tries Thursday night to avoid his first three-game losing streak in 20 years. (Truth serum, Tom: You wish you hadn’t come out of retirement?) Now the Bucs are banged up and will be missing at least two starters on offense and two on defense. Tampa Bay’s secondary is especially depleted, and its once-great run defense has lately been lousy. So many indicators lean to a Ravens win in only Lamar Jackson’s second career meeting with Brady. But my gut-hunch on Tampa winning in a slight upset is strong. Bucs are 4-1 outright in their past five games as an underdog. I think Brady can beat Ravens’ pass defense and that Tampa’s own D will contain Jackson in the pocket better than most. The over/under of 45 1/2 is a volatile gamble. Bucs have topped 21 points only once all year and Ravens’ offense has been modest lately — but two beatable defenses could lead to a pointfest. Brady hasn’t been doubted much in his epic career, but now that he’s feeling some of that, watch him rise up in a show of defiance.

Note: Betting line courtesy Caesars Sportsbook as of Wednesday afternoon. Picks for remainder of Week 8 games will appear online Thursday afternoon and in print Friday.

Greg Cote
Miami Herald
Greg Cote is a Miami Herald sports columnist who in 2025 won a first-place Green Eyeshade award in Sports Commentary and has finished top 10 in column writing by the Associated Press Sports Editors on multiple occasions. Greg also hosts The Greg Cote Show podcast and appears regularly on The Dan LeBatard Show With Stugotz.
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