Greg Cote

Is the reign over for the New England Patriots and Tom Brady? This is our prediction

Do you suffer from Super Bowl Week Syndrome? This is a medically recognized malady that causes headaches and victims’ eyes to glaze over from the the incessant parade of media hype for the big game.

Do you suffer from Patriot Fatigue? Symptoms of this diagnosis — prevalent to nearly epidemic levels outside of Massachusetts — include acute irritability over the very idea of Tom Brady and Bill Belichick winning yet again.

Either way, folks, for better or worse, it’ll all be over soon!


RAMS (15-3) vs. PATRIOTS (13-5)

Line: NE by 2 1/2

Cote’s pick: NE 31-24

TV: 6:30 p.m. Sunday, CBS

Atlanta hosts the 53rd Super Bowl on Sunday. Tom Brady and Bill Belichick haven’t actually been in all of them. It only seems that way. New England’s Double-G.O.A.T. quarterback/coach combo is merely making their ninth SB appearance together, in search of their record sixth NFL championship. These two have more rings than Saturn. But will they add one more? Or is the dynasty about to end with 120 Americans bearing witness? An L.A. Rams team led by a 24-year QB (Jared Goff) and a 33-year-old head coach (Sean McVay) is well-poised to represent “Next!” But can they? I’m doubting it. While also admitting the fact that these teams haven’t played each other in three years accentuates the element of mystery. There’s a neat full-circle thing in play here, too, because it was the Rams (then based in St. Louis) who gave Brady and Belichick their first Super Bowl win 17 years ago. Rams haven;t been back to the Big Game since, ‘til now. New England was way back then a 14-point underdog; Sunday they are 2 1/2 -point favorites. NE actually opened a 1-point ‘dog before money pouring into the Northeast grabbed that line by the neck and shook it. Faith in the Pats is easy by now. New England is playing its best ball of the season, and nobody is more clutch on this stage than Brady, and now it seems Rob Gronkowski has gotten his second wind. That’s huge, because the Rams have defended tight ends poorly all season. The Patriots’ defense also is better all-round than L.A.’s, which has given up 30-plus points seven times this season. Then there’s Belichick. He has a great track record vs. young QBs, of which Goff still qualifies. He also earned his Genius Card by limiting opponents’ most dangerous threat, which is why I think he’ll find a way to insulate Brady from the Rams’ up-the-gut pass rush led by Aaron Donald and Ndamukong Suh. I know that underdogs tend to be a smart Super Bowl play; that ‘dogs have wons six of the past seven SBs outright. But that trend ends here. Yes, the Patriots have been much better at home than on the road this year. But guess what? For New England, the Super Bowl is home.


We had a dream-like regular season, setting personal records, but have rudely awakened with a thud in the playoffs. That included 0-2 marks both straight-up and against the spread in the AFC and NFC Championship Games — although I’ll take an asterisk on the Saints loss thanks to that officiating gaffe that left all of New Orleans and about half of betting America fuming. All that’s left to do now is nail our Super Bowl pick for the sparkler atop what still has been a big seasion for us. So let’s do it!

Overall; Vs. spread

Playoffs: 5-5, .500; 3-7, .300

Season: 179-75-2, .705; 145-104-7, .582

Sports Pass for $30 per year

Get unlimited access to all Miami Herald sports stories and videos for $30

Related stories from Miami Herald

Greg Cote is a Miami Herald sports columnist who in 2018 was named top 10 in column writing by the Associated Press Sports Editors. Greg also appears regularly on the Dan LeBatard Show With Stugotz on ESPN Radio and ESPNews.