Miami Dolphins

Dolphins control their destiny: Breaking down AFC playoff picture ahead of Saints game

Miami Dolphins wide receiver DeVante Parker (11) reacts after scoring in the the fourth quarter on a reception from quarterback Tua Tagovailoa (1) against the New York Jets at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens on Sunday, December 19, 2021.
Miami Dolphins wide receiver DeVante Parker (11) reacts after scoring in the the fourth quarter on a reception from quarterback Tua Tagovailoa (1) against the New York Jets at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens on Sunday, December 19, 2021. adiaz@miamiherald.com

Dolphins fans were treated to a late Christmas gift Sunday, as the team’s playoff chances got a major boost from the outcome of multiple games.

The team’s odds for a postseason berth increased to 18 percent, according to FiveThirtyEight, after losses by the New England Patriots, Baltimore Ravens, Los Angeles Chargers, Pittsburgh Steelers and Denver Broncos.

More importantly, after a 1-7 start, the Dolphins are in control of their playoff destiny and can secure a playoff spot by winning their final three games. It would be a historic turnaround; no team in NFL history has made the playoffs after losing seven of their first eight games.

Here’s a look at the AFC playoff race, with playoff odds courtesy of FiveThirtyEight, as the Dolphins enter their Monday night road game against the New Orleans Saints:

1. Kansas City Chiefs (11-4)

Remaining schedule: at Bengals, at Broncos

Playoff odds: Clinched AFC West

2. Tennessee Titans (10-5)

Remaining schedule: vs. Dolphins, at Texans

Playoff odds: 99 percent

3. Cincinnati Bengals (9-6)

Remaining schedule: vs. Chiefs, at Browns

Playoff odds: 79 percent

4. Buffalo Bills (9-6)

Remaining schedule: vs. Falcons, vs. Jets

Playoff odds: 99 percent

5. Indianapolis Colts (9-6)

Remaining schedule: vs. Raiders, at Jaguars

Playoff odds: 97 percent

6. New England Patriots (9-6)

Remaining schedule: vs. Jaguars, at Dolphins

Playoff odds: 96 percent

7. Baltimore Ravens (8-7)

Remaining schedule: vs. Rams, vs. Steelers

Playoff odds: 34 percent

8. Los Angeles Chargers (8-7)

Remaining schedule: vs. Broncos, at Raiders

Playoff odds: 36 percent

9. Las Vegas Raiders (8-7)

Remaining schedule: at Colts, vs. Chargers

Playoff odds: 18 percent

10. Pittsburgh Steelers (7-7-1)

Remaining schedule: vs. Browns, at Ravens

Playoff odds: 13 percent

11. Miami Dolphins (7-7)

Remaining schedule: at Saints, at Titans, vs. Patriots

Playoff odds: 18 percent

12. Cleveland Browns (7-8)

Remaining schedule: at Steelers, vs. Bengals

Playoff odds: 11 percent

13. Denver Broncos (7-8)

Remaining schedule: at Chargers, vs. Chiefs

Playoff odds: 0.1 percent

This story was originally published December 26, 2021 at 7:24 PM.

Daniel Oyefusi
Miami Herald
Daniel Oyefusi covers the Dolphins for the Miami Herald. A native of Towson, Maryland, he graduated from the University of Maryland: College Park. Previously, he covered the Ravens for The Baltimore Sun.
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