College Sports

College football Week 6: Joe vs. The Pro

Miami's Anthony Chickillo and Antonio Crawford take down Georgia Tech's Robert Godhigh in the third quarter as the University of Miami hosts Georgia Tech at Sun Life Stadium on Saturday, Oct. 5, 2013.
Miami's Anthony Chickillo and Antonio Crawford take down Georgia Tech's Robert Godhigh in the third quarter as the University of Miami hosts Georgia Tech at Sun Life Stadium on Saturday, Oct. 5, 2013. Miami Herald Staff

The only things more flawed than Joe Goodman’s record against the spread this season might be the college football rankings in the AP Top 25 and the Coaches Poll. Florida State is ranked No. 1 by the writers and No. 2 by the coaches entering this weekend. Those lofty estimations in no way represent reality.

While it’s obvious that FSU isn’t the best team in the country at this point in the season, nothing else is clear when it comes to selecting the best four teams for a playoff, so good luck, Condoleezza Rice. Saturday should provide some clarity, especially with tasty games in the Magnolia State between Ole Miss and Alabama and Mississippi State and Texas A&M. Meanwhile, it is already painfully obvious that Joe is off his game this year.

Joe went 5-3 straight up and 3-5 against the spread last week in another desperate attempt to catch up with the Pro. Overall, Joe is 26-13 straight up and 16-23 against the spread. The Pro, Lee Sterling of ParamountSports.com, was 5-3 straight up and 4-4 against the spread last week, and now stands at 32-7 straight up and 26-13 against the spread for the season. To the picks!

Wake Forest at Florida State, FSU by 39

Joe

FSU gave up 41 points to N.C. State last week. This one seems pretty obvious…then you realize Wake only gained 100 yards of total offense against Louisville last week. FSU 42, Wake Forest 10

Pro

Seminole defensive players will be looking to atone for giving up 41 points last week against N.C. State. Feeble Demon Deacon #125 rush “O” will allow them to pin their ears back and collect numerous sacks and possibly 2-3 interceptions. FSU 58, Wake Forest 10

Miami at Georgia Tech, Miami by 1.

Joe

Just can’t get it out of my head how many yards Nebraska rushed for against the Canes’ defense. Exactly 343, if anyone needs reminding. Georgia Tech 35, Miami 28

Pro

Yellow Jackets off a bye week should have no problem finding holes in Miami's run “D” that has allowed 15 +200 and 4 +300 yard rushing games to opponents since 2011. Canes loss of two starting OL could also limit an improving offense. Georgia Tech 34, Miami 30

Stanford at Notre Dame, Stanford by 1.5

Joe

Irish defeated Syracuse by 16 points last week despite five turnovers. Meanwhile, Stanford’s defense is allowing an average of 74 passing yards per game. Stanford 28, Notre Dame 25

Pro

Cardinal running attack and defense ranked No. 1 in multiple categories are difference makers in a battle to who stays alive for a possible Final 4 playoff berth. Stanford 23, Notre Dame 17

LSU at Auburn, Auburn by 7.5

Joe

This is an unusually enormous spread for this game. LSU’s speed on defense will keep this one close. Auburn 24, LSU 21

Pro

The only two real offenses that LSU “D” has faced this season are Wisconsin and Mississippi State and those two teams ran wild amassing 268 & 302 rushing yards. Auburn running attack is better than those two teams. Auburn 38, LSU 24

Oklahoma at TCU, Oklahoma by 4.5

Joe

TCU is still an unknown quantity at this point, despite holding opponents to an average of seven points per game. Sooners opportunistic defense (eight interceptions) gets the edge. Oklahoma 31, TCU 25

Pro

Horned Frogs had just 11 & 10 first downs the last two years in games versus Sooner “D”. Not much of a home field advantage in Ft. Worth as TCU just 6-12 ATS. Oklahoma 31, TCU 22

Florida at Tennessee, Tennessee by 2.5

Joe

Gators’ nine-year winning streak against Tennessee comes to an end this Saturday. Tennessee 30, Florida 21

Pro

Gator pass “D” burned for 814 total yards vs Alabama and Kentucky. With 3 Gator DB’s in the NFL from last year and Cody Riggs transferring to Notre Dame they don’t have a quick fix vs a group of Vol WR’s that can stretch the field. Tennessee 26, Florida 20

Alabama at Ole Miss, Alabama by 6.5

Joe

I have a theory about Ole Miss and why its football team is overhyped whenever possible. Sportswriters just like going to The Grove. Alabama 38, Ole Miss 17

Pro

Not sure Bulldogs have a DB who can slow down Miami native and possibly the best WR in college football Amari Cooper. Alabama 34, Ole Miss 24

Nebraska at Michigan State, Michigan State by 7

Joe

Statistically one of the best rushing defenses (Michigan State) against one of the best rushing offenses (Nebraska). Michigan State’s defense has forced 12 turnovers, which gives them the edge here. Michigan State 21, Nebraska 18

Pro

Saturday will mark the first time Cornhuskers face a top 50 defense this season. Spartans +9 in turnover ratio this year. After this rout Miami fans will wonder how the Canes didn’t beat Nebraska. Michigan State 33, Nebraska 17

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