Tropical Storm Jerry forms. It could follow a familiar track in the Atlantic
Tropical Storm Jerry has formed in the Atlantic, and the forecast track suggests it will steer clear of the U.S. and most of the Caribbean.
It’s still more than a thousand miles from the easternmost Caribbean islands, so it’s on track to reach them Thursday or Friday as a Category 1 hurricane.
The first forecast track, released by the National Hurricane Center Tuesday at 11 a.m., follows a path that’s grown familiar this season — a northern curve away from the U.S. and the rest of the Caribbean.
On Friday, then-Hurricane Jerry is predicted to curve north and away from the Caribbean, straight toward Bermuda, where it may approach on Sunday evening as a Category 1 hurricane.
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The hurricane center is also watching another disturbance with a much lower chance of developing anytime soon. This system was dumping rain on the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico Tuesday morning and expected to emerge over the Bay of Campeche later in the day.
It has a low chance of development before it moves back over Mexico Wednesday or Thursday — just 10% in the next two to seven days, the hurricane center predicted Tuesday afternoon.
Either way, forecasters said, it’s on track to bring more rain to the area.
This story was originally published October 7, 2025 at 8:01 AM.
