Hurricane

Two new storms might form in the Atlantic soon. Neither likely to threaten Florida

The hurricane center said one system could form in the Atlantic in the next few days.
The hurricane center said one system could form in the Atlantic in the next few days. NHC

Chances continue to grow that two new storms could form in the Atlantic in the next few days, but neither poses a likely threat to Florida or most of the Caribbean anytime soon.

The National Hurricane Center also removed from the map a third disturbance that it had been tracking on Friday afternoon.

That leaves two in the busy Atlantic. The closest one, as of the 8 p.m. Friday update, remained at an 80% chance of formation in the next two days and 90% in the next seven after a tick up in chances earlier in the day.

Forecasters said this system is very likely to grow into a tropical depression or storm this weekend, but long-range models have continued to suggest for days that its track will keep it far from the Caribbean and East Coast.

Meteorologists said the cold front that brought much-welcomed cool temperatures to most of the U.S. — except South Florida — on Friday will help steer the system out to sea, a similar path to Hurricane Erin but farther from U.S. shores. Bermuda could be in its path, but it’s too early to know for sure.

Multiple runs of the European model over multiple days have suggested that the nearest disturbance will curve north, away from the U.S. The models are less clear with the second disturbance, which could either dissipate quickly or continue due west into the Caribbean.
Multiple runs of the European model over multiple days have suggested that the nearest disturbance will curve north, away from the U.S. The models are less clear with the second disturbance, which could either dissipate quickly or continue due west into the Caribbean. Weathernerds.org

The second disturbance, nearer to Africa, continued to drop in its development chances. As of 8 p.m. Friday, this tropical wave had a 20% chance of forming in the next two days and a 30% chance of strengthening in the next seven days.

Forecasters said the window of good conditions for this system to form is small, and it’s unclear if the tropical wave will be able to take advantage of it or if it will dissolve over the next few days.

“While there is still some chance that a short-lived tropical depression could form during the next day or so, the system is expected to move through a less conducive environment on Saturday,” the hurricane center wrote. “The wave could reach a slightly more favorable environment late this weekend into early next week.”

Some of the longer-range models do see the storm surviving the rough conditions and take it low across the Caribbean, but they’re far less confident of this system’s track than they are about the other disturbance’s northern curved track.

The next storm name on the list is Fernand.

Miami Herald Staff Writer Devoun Cetoute contributed to this report.

This story was originally published August 22, 2025 at 8:24 AM.

Alex Harris
Miami Herald
Alex Harris is the lead climate change reporter for the Miami Herald’s climate team, which covers how South Florida communities are adapting to the warming world. Her beat also includes environmental issues and hurricanes. She attended the University of Florida.
Get unlimited digital access
#ReadLocal

Try 1 month for $1

CLAIM OFFER