Hurricane

As Dexter heads out to sea, two other disturbances worth watching

The hurricane center is watching two disturbances with medium chances of developing in the next week.
The hurricane center is watching two disturbances with medium chances of developing in the next week. NHC

As Tropical Storm Dexter keeps moving out to sea, the National Hurricane Center is keeping a close eye on two other disturbances in the awoken Atlantic. None pose an immediate threat to land, including Florida.

Dexter, the fourth named storm of the season, formed well north of Bermuda on Monday and is on track to keep far from land until it dissolves later this week in cooler, northern waters.

The next nearest disturbance is swirling in a familiar place — near the northeast coast of Florida. Forecasters upped its chances of developing into a tropical depression to a 40% shot in the next seven days and a 10% shot in the next two days, as of Tuesday morning.

The hurricane center said this disorganized system could inch west, toward Florida, but it’s most likely to move north along the southeastern coast for the rest of its short life.

The second disturbance under watch is in the far eastern Atlantic, a tropical wave that recently rolled off the coast of Africa and looks to be getting slightly more organized. The hurricane center raised its likelihood for development to 50% over the next seven days, as of Tuesday morning.

Forecasters say the main development region — the area where the system is about to cross — could have storm-friendly enough conditions for the wave to develop a little. But global computer model trends suggest it may turn north, into the open Atlantic, rather than keep going west.

“It may take till it starts curving north into the subtropical Atlantic for something to organize. Maybe not,” wrote Weather Channel meteorologist Jim Cantore on X Tuesday morning.

Alex Harris
Miami Herald
Alex Harris is the lead climate change reporter for the Miami Herald’s climate team, which covers how South Florida communities are adapting to the warming world. Her beat also includes environmental issues and hurricanes. She attended the University of Florida.
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