Hurricane

Tropical system could bring heavy rain and some flooding to South Florida

The hurricane center is tracking another tropical disturbance that could cross Florida this week.
The hurricane center is tracking another tropical disturbance that could cross Florida this week. NHC

A tropical system with a low chance of formation is set to cross Florida, dumping rain across the state — again.

The National Hurricane Center is tracking a disturbance near the southeast coast with a 10% chance of strengthening into a tropical depression in the next two to seven days, as of Wednesday afternoon.

Forecasters say some slow development is possible in the next day or two, but the disturbance is on track to move inland over a Gulf coast state by the weekend, ending its chances of formation. The setup is very similar to another disturbance a few weeks ago, which unleashed a ton of rain on Florida before dissipating as a patch of flooding rain on the coast of Louisiana a few days later.

The Miami office of the National Weather Service said rain will continue on Wednesday, with between half an inch and 1.5 inches expected. There is some risk for flooding, thanks to soggy soils from rain earlier in the week, and there’s a chance some of the rainstorms could stall out and drip a bit more rain than expected.

“However, it is worth noting that the ground and soils, especially in Southeast Florida, are primed from yesterday’s rain to where any quick heavy rain could cause some flooding issues,” forecasters said Wednesday morning. “All in all, localized flooding will still be possible even with a slightly different setup than yesterday. The same is likely for Thursday as well.”

This story was originally published July 23, 2025 at 8:40 AM.

Alex Harris
Miami Herald
Alex Harris is the lead climate change reporter for the Miami Herald’s climate team, which covers how South Florida communities are adapting to the warming world. Her beat also includes environmental issues and hurricanes. She attended the University of Florida.
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