Hurricane

Tropical system struggling to form as it dumps even more rain on Florida

The chances of a tropical depression forming in the Gulf are holding steady at 40%.
The chances of a tropical depression forming in the Gulf are holding steady at 40%. NHC

Florida is in for another soggy day as a would-be tropical system continues to cross the state, ahead of its potential development in the Gulf.

As of Wednesday morning, the National Hurricane Center held the chances of the system developing into a tropical depression or storm at 40% over the next two to seven days.

The greatest impacts will likely be in the northern end of the Gulf, which could see heavy rain in the middle of the week, regardless of whether or not the system strengthens.

“It still has a chance to develop into at least a tropical depression near Louisiana or Mississippi late today or tomorrow. The threat is heavy, persistent rain,” Bryan Norcross, a hurricane specialist at Fox Weather, wrote on X Wednesday morning.

The next storm name on the list is Dexter.

The system’s slow passage over Florida has meant days of rain throughout the state, leading to street flooding in South Florida. However, the Miami office of the National Weather Service expects the rain to slow down, alleviating any concerns about deep flooding.

“The progressive nature of storms each afternoon should preclude any widespread flooding concerns. The stronger storms could drop an inch of rain pretty easily in any given spot, with a reasonable worst case around 2 to 3 inches in a short period of time. But those amounts (if they happen) would be fairly isolated,” forecasters wrote in the Wednesday morning forecast.

Alex Harris
Miami Herald
Alex Harris is the lead climate change reporter for the Miami Herald’s climate team, which covers how South Florida communities are adapting to the warming world. Her beat also includes environmental issues and hurricanes. She attended the University of Florida.
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