A little more rain for Florida as tropical system crosses the state
.png "Odds rise for the formation of a tropical depression or storm near north Florida.")
The odds have increased that a tropical depression will form in the Gulf this week, but first, the tropical system has to cross Florida and dump even more rain on the state.
On Tuesday morning, the National Hurricane Center upped the chances of development to 40% in the next two to seven days.
Forecasters expect the ragged-looking tropical system to sweep over the center of Florida on Tuesday — bringing rainstorms, some heavy — before entering the Gulf on Wednesday.
Unlike Monday, which was a deluge for South Florida, today’s tropical-system-related rain is expected to be more concentrated in the center of the state. The Miami office of the National Weather Service predicts South Florida could see around 1 inch of rain on Tuesday and Wednesday, not enough for any severe flooding.
“Can’t completely rule out the chance that an isolated location or two could receive enough rainfall in a short time to observe flooding on roadways or in poor drainage areas, but that is likely to be a reasonable worst case scenario,” forecasters wrote Monday.
On Monday, South Florida saw between 1 and 2 inches of rain, according to rainfall maps from the South Florida Water Management District.
Later Tuesday and early Wednesday, the system should be fully in the warm, storm-friendly waters of the Gulf. From there, forecasters expect it to develop into at least a tropical depression, and potentially a tropical storm.
Early computer models continue to suggest the would-be storm could hug the coast and make landfall somewhere near Louisiana as a lower-category tropical storm bearing heavy, potentially flood-inducing rains.
Early predictions from NOAA’s Weather Prediction Center suggest that some spots on the northern Gulf coast could see flash flood conditions mid-week.
The next name on the storm list is Dexter.
This story was originally published July 15, 2025 at 8:34 AM.
