Hurricane

The latest forecasts for Hurricane Tammy and the tropical disturbance in the Caribbean

The 4:44 a.m. map of Atlantic Ocean weather systems.
The 4:44 a.m. map of Atlantic Ocean weather systems. National Hurricane Center

Hurricane Tammy kept raining on some Caribbean islands as it moved north Monday, and a disturbance in the southwest Caribbean Sea still has growth potential.

Neither is expected to affect South Florida or any other part of the United States for now.

Here’s what the latest of what the National Hurricane Center has to say about each system.

Hurricane Tammy

The projected path of Hurricane Tammy as of 11 a.m. Oct. 23.
The projected path of Hurricane Tammy as of 11 a.m. Oct. 23. National Hurricane Center

Where is Tammy? The hurricane center’s 11 a.m. Monday advisory put Hurricane Tammy about 260 miles north of Anguilla.

Strength: Tammy’s Category 1 maximum sustained winds remained at 80 mph. Hurricane force winds extend up to 25 miles from the storm’s center and winds blew at tropical storm force (at least 39 mph) up to 125 miles from the center. “Some slight strengthening is possible during the next day or so followed by weakening,” the hurricane center said.

Movement: Tammy was moving north at 7 mph. “A turn toward the north-northeast or northeast is expected to begin later (Monday) and continue into Tuesday,” the hurricane center said.

Hazards: Tammy, continuing to drench the British Virgin Islands, the Leeward Islands and northern Windward Islands, is expected to produce dangerous surf and rip current condition in Puerto Rico, the U.S. and British Virgin Islands and the Lesser Antilles into midweek.

Watches and warnings: None.

Next advisory: Full advisory at 5 p.m. Monday.

Southwestern Caribbean disturbance

The disturbance AL95, an area of low pressure in the southwestern Caribbean, could turn into a “short-lived tropical depression before the system moves inland over Nicaragua by early Tuesday,” the hurricane center said in its 8 a.m. Monday update. “Regardless of development, this system could produce heavy rains over portions of Central America during the next couple of days.”

Formation chance through 48 hours: 60%, the same as the 2 a.m. advisory.

Formation chance through seven days: 60%, the same as the 2 a.m. advisory.

Miami Herald staff writers Grethel Aguila and Omar Rodríguez Ortiz contributed to this report.

This story was originally published October 21, 2023 at 10:28 AM.

David J. Neal
Miami Herald
Since 1989, David J. Neal’s domain at the Miami Herald has expanded to include writing about Panthers (NHL and FIU), Dolphins, old school animation, food safety, fraud, naughty lawyers, bad doctors and all manner of breaking news. He drinks coladas whole. He does not work Indianapolis 500 Race Day.
Howard Cohen
Miami Herald
Miami Herald consumer trends reporter Howard Cohen, a 2017 Media Excellence Awards winner, has covered pop music, theater, health and fitness, obituaries, municipal government, breaking news and general assignment. He started his career in the Features department at the Miami Herald in 1991. Cohen is an adjunct professor at the University of Miami School of Communication. Support my work with a digital subscription
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