A tropical wave in the Atlantic Ocean is expected to be a depression or storm soon
A disturbance in the eastern Atlantic Ocean that’s expected to become something soon and a disturbance in the Gulf of Mexico that might not become anything both have the National Hurricane Center’s attention.
The hurricane center updated forecasts for the disturbances at 2 p.m. Monday.
Disturbance AL92 in the Eastern Tropical Atlantic
The hurricane center update says this wave, several hundred miles south-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands, has a big area of showers and thunderstorms and “this activity has become a bit more concentrated” Monday afternoon.
“A tropical depression is likely to form in the next couple of days while it moves west-northwestward or northwestward across the eastern tropical Atlantic,” the hurricane center said.
Formation chance through 48 hours: 70%, up from 60% at the 8 a.m. advisory.
Formation chance through seven days: 80%, the same as the 8 a.m. advisory.
Southwestern Gulf of Mexico
The hurricane center calls this a “small area of low pressure” over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico.
“Environmental conditions appear only marginally favorable for some additional development while the system moves slowly northward before the low merges with a frontal system over the western Gulf of Mexico by midweek,” the forecast read.
Formation chance through 48 hours: 20%, the same as the 8 a.m. advisory.
Formation chance through seven days: 20%, the same as the 8 a.m. advisory.
This story was originally published October 8, 2023 at 8:53 AM.
