Hurricane center tracks two tropical systems in the Atlantic. Here’s what to know
.png "One of two disturbances in the Atlantic has a high chance of developing into a tropical depression in the next dew days, the National Hurricane Center said in its 9 p.m. advisory on July 30, 2023.")
Forecasters on Sunday were tracking two tropical disturbances in the Atlantic, and one had a high chance of forming into a tropical depression.
The tropics had three waves Friday, including one that had developed on Florida’s coast, east of Jacksonville, and swept rain over parts of the state, and one in the southwestern Caribbean that moved inland in Central America.
Here’s what the National Hurricane Center’s 8 p.m. Sunday advisory said about the remaining systems.
Central Tropical Atlantic Disturbance
A tropical wave about 700 miles east-northeast of the Leeward Islands is becoming more organized as it produces showers and thunderstorms across the region.
Environmental conditions are forecast to be marginally favorable for gradual development of this system during the next few days. A tropical depression is likely to form during the early part of next week and, if it does, it would be named Emily, according to hurricane specialist Jack Beven.
The disturbance is forecast to move northwest at about 15 mph, then turn north over the central subtropical Atlantic by late Monday or Tuesday.
▪ Formation chance through 48 hours: 70%.
▪ Formation chance through seven days: 80%
Will the disturbance affect Florida?
While it remains too early to tell if this tropical wave will have any impact in Florida or the U.S., forecasters believe it will remain over open waters and away from land, similar to Don earlier this month. Don strengthened into 2023’s first hurricane for a few days before weakening.
Off the North Carolina Coast
An area of low pressure with showers and thunderstorms located about 100 miles southeast of Morehead City, North Carolina is showing some signs of organization.
Environmental conditions appear generally favorable for some additional development over the next day or so, and a short-lived tropical cyclone could develop. Regardless of whether the system becomes tropical or not, potentially damaging wind gusts are expected in the region starting Monday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours: 30%.
* Formation chance through seven days: 30%.
Will the disturbance affect Florida?
This area of low pressure is moving away from Florida and is not expected to impact the state.
This story was originally published July 29, 2023 at 8:52 AM.
