Tropical Depression Nicole dousing Florida. Where is it going, what bad weather to expect?

Nicole has about wrapped up its time in Florida as of Thursday night, downgraded to a depression, but it’s still causing heavy rains in the nation’s Southeast.

The system made landfall landfall as a Category 1 hurricane just south of Vero Beach on Florida’s east coast early Thursday. It quickly weakened into a large tropical storm.

Where is Nicole going? How strong is it? And what watches and warnings are in effect?

Here’s what the forecast says:

Where is Tropical Storm Nicole now? How strong is it?

As of late Thursday night, Nicole’s center was near the Florida/Georgia border.

The tropical storm was about 20 miles north of Tallahassee, according to the National Hurricane Center’s Thursday night advisory. And it’s becoming weaker. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to nearly 35 mph with higher gusts.

Where is Tropical Depression Nicole going?

Nicole is moving northwest quickly at nearly 15 mph and is forecast to move into southwestern Georgia late Thursday night and Friday. It will likely head across the western Carolinas later on Friday.

The hurricane center said Nicole will continue to weaken into a post-tropical cyclone on Friday.

What hazards could Nicole bring to Florida?

The hurricane center said that Nicole will continue to produce heavy rainfall across the Florida Peninsula late Thursday night through Saturday, with flash and urban flooding possible.

Forecasters anticipate 2 to 4 inches of rain, with some areas possibly seeing up to 6 to 8 inches.

Also in the forecast: Dangerous storm surge along portions of the east-central and northeastern coast of Florida, as well as on the Gulf Coast of the Big Bend region.

Storm surge of 1 to 3 feet is forecast from the Flagler/Volusia county line to the Savannah River, including along the St. Johns River. The Anclote River to the Ochlockonee River is likely to see 1 to 3 feet of surge as well.

Tropical Storm Nicole watches/warnings

All Tropical Storm and Storm Surge warnings have been discontinued.

This story was originally published November 10, 2022 at 7:32 AM.

Michelle Marchante

Miami Herald

305-376-2708

Michelle Marchante covers the pulse of healthcare in South Florida and also the City of Coral Gables. Before that, she covered the COVID-19 pandemic, hurricanes, crime, education, entertainment and other topics in South Florida for the Herald as a breaking news reporter. She recently won first place in the health reporting category in the 2025 Sunshine State Awards for her coverage of Steward Health’s bankruptcy. An investigative series about the abrupt closure of a Miami heart transplant program led Michelle and her colleagues to be recognized as finalists in two 2024 Florida Sunshine State Award categories. She also won second place in the 73rd annual Green Eyeshade Awards for her consumer-focused healthcare stories and was part of the team of reporters who won a 2022 Pulitzer Prize for the Miami Herald’s breaking news coverage of the Surfside building collapse. Michelle graduated with honors from Florida International University and was a 2025 National Press Foundation Covering Workplace Mental Health fellow and a 2020-2021 Poynter-Koch Media & Journalism fellow.  Support my work with a digital subscription

Devoun Cetoute

Miami Herald

305-376-2026

Miami Herald Cops and Breaking News Reporter Devoun Cetoute covers a plethora of Florida topics, from breaking news to crime patterns. He was on the breaking news team that won a Pulitzer Prize in 2022. He’s a graduate of the University of Florida, born and raised in Miami-Dade. Theme parks, movies and cars are on his mind in and out of the office.