Tropical Storm Lisa expected to become a hurricane before landfall. What the forecast says
.png "Forecasters are watching Tropical Storm Lisa and a disturbance in the Atlantic.")
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Tropical Storm Lisa formed in the Caribbean Sea on Monday and is forecast to become a hurricane before making landfall in Central America this week.
Lisa is the 12th named storm of the 2022 Atlantic hurricane season and is not a threat to Florida. The National Hurricane Center is also monitoring a disturbance in the central Atlantic that has a low chance of development.
Here’s what to know:
Where is Lisa now and where is it going?
Lisa is slightly stronger Monday night, with maximum sustained winds near 45 mph with higher gusts, according to the National Hurricane Center.
The storm was about 305 miles southeast of Grand Cayman and 630 miles from Belize City, as of the hurricane center’s 8 p.m. advisory.
The system is forecast to pass to the south of Jamaica on Monday night and south of the Cayman Islands on Tuesday. Then it is expected to move near or over the Bay Islands of Honduras early Wednesday before approaching Belize later that day.
Tropical storm-force winds are possible in Jamaica on Monday night and on the coast of Honduras from Tuesday night through Wednesday. Other areas in Mexico, Honduras and Guatemala may start feeling tropical storm-force winds Wednesday afternoon. And hurricane conditions are possible on Wednesday in the Bay Islands of Honduras and along the coast of Belize — both under hurricane watches.
A tropical storm watch is in effect Monday night for Jamaica, the coast of Honduras, and parts of Guatemala and Mexico. A tropical storm warning is in effect for the Bay Islands.
The hurricane center expects Lisa to continue strengthening as it moves west to west-northwest at 14 mph over the Caribbean’s warm waters. The forecast shows it turning into a Category 1 hurricane with maximum sustained winds near 75 mph Wednesday before making landfall in Central America, possibly in Belize.
“Interests elsewhere in Central America and the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico should monitor the progress of Lisa,” the hurricane center said in its advisory.
What about the Atlantic disturbance?
Forecasters also began monitoring a disturbance Monday afternoon about 350 miles northeast of Bermuda, which has a small window to see some additional subtropical or tropical development before it gets absorbed by a larger extratropical low.
The system is moving east-northeast over the Atlantic, keeping it away from the United States.
It has a low 30% chance of formation through the next five days, according to the hurricane center.
This story was originally published October 31, 2022 at 7:35 AM.
