After a lull, there’s a disturbance in the Atlantic. What the forecast says this weekend
The calm in the tropics ended. A disturbance appeared in the Atlantic Friday afternoon, and while a day later it still didn’t have any tropical characteristics, forecasters say this could change by early next week.
The system, described as a trough of low pressure, was well east of Bermuda Saturday afternoon, according to the National Hurricane Center’s 2 p.m. advisory.
Forecasters expect the system could gain some subtropical or tropical characteristics as it moves westward to west-northwestward at about 15 to 20 mph across the subtropical Atlantic.
On his Eye on the Tropics blog, WPLG meteorologist Michael Lowry said the low-pressure area, called Invest 94L by the hurricane center, derived from an old stationary front in the central Atlantic. He called it a “pipsqueak.”
But by mid-week, further development seems unlikely because the disturbance should hit cooler northwestern Atlantic waters and stronger upper-level winds, hurricane specialist Lisa Bucci wrote in Saturday’s advisory. This disturbance doesn’t look like a threat to any land.
The hurricane center is giving the system a low 10% chance of formation within the next 48 hours and a low 20% chance of formation through the next five days.
What’s the next storm name?
Lisa is the next storm name on the list for the 2022 Atlantic hurricane season.
Local forecast
Saturday’s forecast for South Florida includes mild temperatures with highs just over 80 and lows around 70. Thunderstorms would be over the Atlantic should any crop up Saturday into next week. But a high risk of rip currents into the week is likely, especially in Palm Beach County Saturday and then along the rest of South Florida’s beaches, the National Weather Service said Saturday.
This story was originally published October 21, 2022 at 3:07 PM.