Forecasters say disturbance off Africa’s coast may turn into tropical depression this week
.png "The National Hurricane Center’s 8 p.m. Sunday, Aug. 7, 2022, Atlantic tropics map notes a disturbance emerging off Africa’s coast that has a 40% chance of development over five days.")
8/8/2022: A disturbance in the Atlantic that is expected to turn into a depression soon was given a slightly higher formation chance Monday. Click here to read more.
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The National Hurricane Center is monitoring a newly formed tropical wave in the eastern Atlantic that may form into a tropical depression this week.
Forecasters placed a 40% chance of development over the next five days as the system moves westward across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic through the middle part of next week, the hurricane center said in its 8 p.m. Sunday advisory.
Tropical cyclone activity is not expected in the next 48 hours anywhere near the United States or Caribbean as of Sunday evening.
In terms of local weather, up to a 50% chance of rain is expected in South Florida between Monday and Tuesday, with drier air arriving Wednesday courtesy of some Saharan dust, the National Weather Service said Sunday afternoon. There is also a high risk of rip currents through Monday evening in coastal Miami-Dade, Broward and Palm Beach counties.
Colorado State University meteorologist Philip Klotzbach noted that this is the hurricane center’s first tracked disturbance since July 13.
But that is not unusual in July and doesn’t indicate a slow season should be expected in the generally more active August and September months. Hurricane season ends Nov. 30.
Michael Lowry, WPLG ABC 10’s hurricane specialist, wrote Friday on his Eye on the Tropics blog it was likely that forecasters would start tracking a line of disturbances lined up over Africa that would soon begin rolling into the tropical Atlantic.
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Concerning the new disturbance, Lowry posted an update Saturday.
“Given the trajectory and steering pattern ahead, early odds favor a track north of the Caribbean,” he wrote.
NOAA’s revised predictions issued in the past week indicated there could still be 11 to 17 more named storms in the next four months, before the 2022 season ends.
Omar Rodríguez Ortiz contributed to this report.
This story was originally published August 6, 2022 at 9:01 AM.
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