Weather News

When will this perfect Miami weather end? Ultra music fest could see a change

Low clouds hover around the top of Miami skyline buildings in the morning of March 18, 2026. They could reappear Sunday, March 29, during Ultra as there is a 35% rain chance that day.
Low clouds hover around the top of Miami skyline buildings in the morning of March 18, 2026. They could reappear Sunday, March 29, during Ultra as there is a 35% rain chance that day. pportal@miamiherald.com

Last week’s rains offered “a little improvement in drought conditions over the southern Everglades and eastern metro areas of Broward and Miami-Dade counties,” according to the National Weather Service in Miami.

But the beautiful weekend and week ahead will be ideal for outdoor events and comfort in South Florida and the Keys. Cool mornings, warm days. Clear skies into the weekend.

And if it feels like you’re sweating less, you are. Low humidity, without that heavy, damp blanket feeling so common to Miami in 80-degree weather, should be absent this week.

The downside if you want to see continued progress on drought relief: There’s little rain in the coming week’s forecast — which covers spring break for Miami-Dade schoolkids and this weekend’s Ultra Music Festival at Miami’s Bayfront Park Friday through Sunday.

Raving later this week? You may get wet Sunday at Ultra as some rain moves in around 9 a.m. and hits it peak between 3 and 6 p.m. on Ultra’s last day. Forecasters predict a tenth or so of an inch falling across South Florida, according to the weather service. Thunderstorms are also possible. Forecast chance: about 35%.

Otherwise, expect a run of clear, sunny days Monday through Saturday in Miami and Fort Lauderdale, with morning lows in the 60s and highs in the low 80s. The low-60s mornings gradually warm to 70 by Sunday but the potential rain and breezy conditions could keep the afternoon high below 80. Key West mornings are just a bit warmer at 70 degrees and a 20% rain chance of rain Sunday.

Attendees dance at the Worldwide Stage during the third day of Ultra Music Festival on Sunday, March 30, 2025, at Bayfront Park in downtown Miami, Fla.
Attendees dance at the Worldwide Stage during the third day of Ultra Music Festival on Sunday, March 30, 2025, at Bayfront Park in downtown Miami, Fla. Alie Skowronski askowronski@miamiherald.com

The drought

Rainfall amounts across the region have improved 25% to 50% over the last month, but the only area that improved enough to hit normal rainfall amounts was the extreme southern Everglades.

Over a longer monitoring period from Nov. 1 to Feb. 19, Homestead and the center’s monitoring station at Fort Lauderdale-Hollywood International Airport almost reached normal levels.

But the South Florida Water Management District still has a water shortage warning in effect for Miami-Dade, Monroe, Collier and Glades counties.

South Florida is under an enhanced fire weather risk due to dry air and the ongoing drought conditions, CBS News Miami meteorologists reported Monday.

There were no major wildfires reported in South Florida, but light north and northwesterly winds pulled some smoke from ongoing fires along the Gulf Coast and the Southeast U.S. into South Florida, lowering Monday morning’s air quality, meteorologist Shane Hinton reported.

This story was originally published March 23, 2026 at 11:36 AM.

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Howard Cohen
Miami Herald
Miami Herald consumer trends reporter Howard Cohen, a 2017 Media Excellence Awards winner, has covered pop music, theater, health and fitness, obituaries, municipal government, breaking news and general assignment. He started his career in the Features department at the Miami Herald in 1991. Cohen is an adjunct professor at the University of Miami School of Communication. Support my work with a digital subscription
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