As an Atlantic system moves west, what are its tropical depression chances?
The Atlantic Ocean remains clear of significant severe weather systems excepting a tropical wave in the far eastern tropical Atlantic.
The disturbance is expected to move in a west to west-northwest manner at about 15 mph through the central tropical Atlantic Ocean area this week.
As of 8 p.m. Monday, the National Hurricane Center said, “Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression could form by the middle or later part of this week.”
Formation chance by Wednesday morning: 10%.
Formation chance by next Monday: 60%.
This story was originally published September 1, 2025 at 9:46 AM.
David J. Neal
Miami Herald