Weather News

New disturbance near Africa has high development chances, hurricane forecasters say

Map of the tropics on Saturday, Oct. 7, 2023.
Map of the tropics on Saturday, Oct. 7, 2023. NHC

The National Hurricane Center is watching a new disturbance near Africa that could develop into a tropical depression by the middle of the week.

Post tropical cyclone Philippe’s long and winding journey along the Atlantic is still bringing moisture, winds and flash flood warnings to portions of the northeastern United States and may affect the coast of Atlantic Canada or eastern New England over the weekend, but advisories ended after its downgrade Friday night.

Eastern Tropical Atlantic Ocean disturbance

A low-latitude tropical wave near the west coast of Africa was producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms, and environmental conditions are conducive for gradual development, the hurricane center said in its 8 p.m. Saturday advisory.

Forecasters say a tropical depression is likely to form by the middle of next week while it moves westward to west-northwestward across the eastern tropical Atlantic.

Formation chance through 48 hours: 30%

Formation chance through seven days: 70%

Map of the tropics on Saturday, Oct. 7, 2023.
Map of the tropics on Saturday, Oct. 7, 2023. NHC

This story was originally published October 6, 2023 at 3:32 PM.

Devoun Cetoute
Miami Herald
Miami Herald Cops and Breaking News Reporter Devoun Cetoute covers a plethora of Florida topics, from breaking news to crime patterns. He was on the breaking news team that won a Pulitzer Prize in 2022. He’s a graduate of the University of Florida, born and raised in Miami-Dade. Theme parks, movies and cars are on his mind in and out of the office.
Howard Cohen
Miami Herald
Miami Herald consumer trends reporter Howard Cohen, a 2017 Media Excellence Awards winner, has covered pop music, theater, health and fitness, obituaries, municipal government, breaking news and general assignment. He started his career in the Features department at the Miami Herald in 1991. Cohen is an adjunct professor at the University of Miami School of Communication. Support my work with a digital subscription
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