Weather News

Will the rain clear for Thanksgiving and Black Friday in Miami? What the forecast says

This turkey ought to stay dry in Miami as practically all of Florida has just a slight chance of rain on Thanksgiving and Black Friday, Nov. 24-25, 2022, according to forecasters at the National Weather Service in Miami.
This turkey ought to stay dry in Miami as practically all of Florida has just a slight chance of rain on Thanksgiving and Black Friday, Nov. 24-25, 2022, according to forecasters at the National Weather Service in Miami. hcohen@miamiherald.com

Thanksgiving brings several T’s to the table: turkey and time together — but thankfully little chance of thunderstorms.

We’ve had enough of those since Sunday, right?

Tuesday brings a drying-out period, says George Rizzuto, a National Weather Service meteorologist in Miami.

Thanksgiving Thursday in South Florida and the Keys has only a slight chance of an isolated shower or thunderstorm — a 20% chance for the east coast, Rizzuto said. Same story on Black Friday for those with holiday shopping plans.

“And then even less into the weekend, so it’s looking pretty dry beyond today,” Rizzuto said on Tuesday when rain chances were 60% but primarily in the northern parts of South Florida, in Broward and Palm Beach counties.

That’s a shift from some recent record rains at Miami International and Fort Lauderdale-Hollywood international airports. “We also set a November record at our office — 5-1/2 inches of rain here,” Rizzuto said from the center on Florida International University’s campus in West Miami-Dade.

Coastal flood chance

A coastal flood statement remains for Miami-Dade through late Tuesday night for minor coastal flooding. Tuesday also brings a high risk for rip currents at Broward and Palm Beach County beaches through Wednesday, with a moderate risk for Miami-Dade beaches.

Broward County officials posted on Twitter that high tides are expected Wednesday through Saturday and that could lead to flooding in low-lying areas and coastal cities.

“Plan accordingly and drive safely during the holiday weekend,” officials said.

As for temperatures, South Florida will be warm in the mid-80s, slightly above average for this time of year, but nowhere near record heat, Rizzuto said.

READ MORE: Is parking full at the airport? You have options for holiday travel in Miami and Broward

Orlando and Gainesville will be in the upper- to mid-70s, respectively, on Thanksgiving, with the same minimal rain chances.

That said, Southwest Florida will still be the country’s warmest spot, WINK meteorologist Matt Wink posted on Facebook. Expect 82 degrees in Tampa Bay, for instance. That’s hot for people, but not quite hot enough to roast a turkey.

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This story was originally published November 22, 2022 at 10:25 AM.

Howard Cohen
Miami Herald
Miami Herald consumer trends reporter Howard Cohen, a 2017 Media Excellence Awards winner, has covered pop music, theater, health and fitness, obituaries, municipal government, breaking news and general assignment. He started his career in the Features department at the Miami Herald in 1991. Cohen is an adjunct professor at the University of Miami School of Communication. Support my work with a digital subscription
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