One of two disturbances in the Atlantic could turn into a depression, forecasters say

One of two disturbances in the Atlantic has a high chance of turning into a tropical depression soon, according to the National Hurricane Center.

But rest easy: None are an immediate threat to Florida and the United States.

Disturbance No. 1

The broad area of low pressure with a high chance of turning into a tropical depression this week is a few hundred miles south-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands in the eastern Atlantic and is far away from the United States.

The National Hurricane Center, in an advisory at 8 p.m. Monday, upped the system’s formation chances from 60% to 70% through the next 48 hours. The system has an 80% chance of formation through the next five days. However, forecasters note that conditions will become less likely for development later this week due to increasing upper-level winds.

The hurricane center projects the system will move northwest over the eastern tropical Atlantic.

At this point, it’s unlikely to affect Florida.

Disturbance No. 2

The tropical wave forecasters are watching is several hundred miles east of the southern Windward Islands. The system is forecast to quickly move west, reaching the Windward Islands and the eastern Caribbean Sea by midweek and the western side over the weekend.

Forecasters say the system could slowly develop during the next several days and that people in the Windward Islands should monitor the progress.

The hurricane center at 8 p.m. kept its formation chances at 30% through the next 48 hours and at 30% through the next five days.

What’s the next storm name?

Julia is the next storm name on the list for the 2022 Atlantic hurricane season.

This story was originally published October 2, 2022 at 9:30 AM.

David J. Neal

Miami Herald

305-376-3559

Since 1989, David J. Neal’s domain at the Miami Herald has expanded to include writing about Panthers (NHL and FIU), Dolphins, old school animation, food safety, fraud, naughty lawyers, bad doctors and all manner of breaking news. He drinks coladas whole. He does not work Indianapolis 500 Race Day.

Michelle Marchante

Miami Herald

305-376-2708

Michelle Marchante covers the pulse of healthcare in South Florida and also the City of Coral Gables. Before that, she covered the COVID-19 pandemic, hurricanes, crime, education, entertainment and other topics in South Florida for the Herald as a breaking news reporter. She recently won first place in the health reporting category in the 2025 Sunshine State Awards for her coverage of Steward Health’s bankruptcy. An investigative series about the abrupt closure of a Miami heart transplant program led Michelle and her colleagues to be recognized as finalists in two 2024 Florida Sunshine State Award categories. She also won second place in the 73rd annual Green Eyeshade Awards for her consumer-focused healthcare stories and was part of the team of reporters who won a 2022 Pulitzer Prize for the Miami Herald’s breaking news coverage of the Surfside building collapse. Michelle graduated with honors from Florida International University and was a 2025 National Press Foundation Covering Workplace Mental Health fellow and a 2020-2021 Poynter-Koch Media & Journalism fellow.  Support my work with a digital subscription