Weather News

There’s a disturbance in the Caribbean Sea, another just behind it. What forecast shows

Forecasters are monitoring two disturbances in the Atlantic basin.
Forecasters are monitoring two disturbances in the Atlantic basin. National Hurricane Center

A disturbance over the Caribbean Sea and another system in the eastern Atlantic could see some development next week, forecasters say.

The National Hurricane Center, in an advisory at 2 p.m. Friday, gave both of the disturbances a low chance of formation over the next two to five days. At the moment, neither system is a threat to Florida.

The system in the Caribbean is west of the Windward Islands. It’s forecast to quickly move west during the next several days. “Environmental conditions could become more conducive for slow development of this system during the early or middle part of next week,” the hurricane center said.

Forecasters say it has a 0% chance of formation through the next 48 hours and a low 20% chance through the next five days.

The system producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms in the eastern Atlantic is expected to interact with an approaching tropical wave, forecasters said. This interaction could lead to the system seeing some gradual development sometime next week as it moves slowly west to west-northwest across the Atlantic.

It has a 10% chance of formation through the next 48 hours. The hurricane center increased its formation chances from 20% to 30% through the next five days.

This story was originally published August 26, 2022 at 6:44 AM.

Michelle Marchante
Miami Herald
Michelle Marchante covers the pulse of healthcare in South Florida and also the City of Coral Gables. Before that, she covered the COVID-19 pandemic, hurricanes, crime, education, entertainment and other topics in South Florida for the Herald as a breaking news reporter. She recently won first place in the health reporting category in the 2025 Sunshine State Awards for her coverage of Steward Health’s bankruptcy. An investigative series about the abrupt closure of a Miami heart transplant program led Michelle and her colleagues to be recognized as finalists in two 2024 Florida Sunshine State Award categories. She also won second place in the 73rd annual Green Eyeshade Awards for her consumer-focused healthcare stories and was part of the team of reporters who won a 2022 Pulitzer Prize for the Miami Herald’s breaking news coverage of the Surfside building collapse. Michelle graduated with honors from Florida International University and was a 2025 National Press Foundation Covering Workplace Mental Health fellow and a 2020-2021 Poynter-Koch Media & Journalism fellow.  Support my work with a digital subscription
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