A tropical wave is expected to move across Central America and into the Gulf. What next?
A disturbance near northern Nicaragua and eastern Honduras is forecast to move across Central America and into the Gulf of Mexico this week.
The National Hurricane Center expects the disturbance, described as a tropical wave, will eventually emerge over the Bay of Campeche, where it could form into an area of low pressure, likely on Friday.
The system could then see some “gradual development” as it moves northwest over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico through the weekend, keeping it close to Mexico’s coast, according to the hurricane center’s Wednesday forecast. At the moment, the system is not a threat to Florida.
The disturbance has no chance of formation in the next 48 hours and a low 20% chance of formation through the next five days, according to the hurricane center.
On Monday, forecasters monitored a short-lived disturbance in the central Atlantic that dissipated by 2 p.m.
NOAA’s revised prediction says there could be 11 to 17 named storms before the Atlantic’s 2022 hurricane season ends on Nov. 30. The next storm name on the list is Danielle.
This story was originally published August 16, 2022 at 6:51 AM.
