Weather News

‘Robust storms’ headed to South Florida, and that could mean tornadoes. Here’s a timeline

Robust storms” are expected in South Florida Tuesday and Wednesday, the National Weather Service in Miami warns.

What’s “robust?”

Chance of one or two isolated tornadoes spawned by strong, scattered thunderstorms cannot be ruled out, the service warns in its hazardous weather outlook. Thunderstorms: Isolated to scattered thunderstorms will be possible.

Strong, to damaging wind gusts, are possible and could be just over 20 mph but maybe higher in the stronger storms.

Localized flooding, waterspouts.

Rip currents are at high risk for coastal Miami-Dade and Broward beaches through late Tuesday night.

Sounds robust.

Why is this wetness and wind on the way?

Blame it on a developing Gulf cyclone to the north that is heading toward South Florida, meteorologists with the weather service say. But unlike last weekend’s bomb cyclone that brought a sudden drop in temperatures from a record high 90 on Saturday afternoon to upper 50s Saturday night and Sunday morning, the Gulf cyclone is not bringing particularly cool air to the region.

Temperatures will be in a narrow range of about 80 to 82 as a high to mid-70s as a low through the week into Saturday.

The strong thunderstorm potential continues Wednesday afternoon, forecasters say, but “the overall threat” diminishes by early morning Thursday.

Weather timeline

Tuesday morning: A few isolated showers across the eastern half of South Florida.

Tuesday mid-day: Scattered showers increase across all of South Florida.

Tuesday late afternoon/evening: Scattered thunderstorms develop with a few becoming “strong to severe,” according to the weather service.

Wednesday morning: Thunderstorms and scattered showers continue.

Wednesday afternoon/evening: Another round of thunderstorms across South Florida.

Thursday: A few morning showers but then the dry out begins as a weak frontal boundary moves through, bringing warm and mostly dry weather through Saturday. Rain chances are 30% Saturday and 40% Sunday.

This April 5, 2011 file photo of Biscayne Bay, looking toward South Beach, showed a line of scattered showers and thunderstorms. That view could repeat March 15 and 16, 2022 in South Florida as the National Weather Service forecasts storms.
This April 5, 2011 file photo of Biscayne Bay, looking toward South Beach, showed a line of scattered showers and thunderstorms. That view could repeat March 15 and 16, 2022 in South Florida as the National Weather Service forecasts storms. PETER ANDREW BOSCH Miami Herald file

This story was originally published March 15, 2022 at 9:40 AM.

Howard Cohen
Miami Herald
Miami Herald consumer trends reporter Howard Cohen, a 2017 Media Excellence Awards winner, has covered pop music, theater, health and fitness, obituaries, municipal government, breaking news and general assignment. He started his career in the Features department at the Miami Herald in 1991. Cohen is an adjunct professor at the University of Miami School of Communication. Support my work with a digital subscription
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