Trump vs. Biden: Who has the early lead in election polls after Sanders drops out?
Now that Sen. Bernie Sanders has dropped out of the Democratic primary, it has cleared the way for President Donald Trump and Joe Biden to match up in the presidential election.
Who’s leading early in the U.S. and swing state polls? Here’s a look at the numbers.
Nationwide polls
Real Clear Politics takes an aggregate of polls to create an average. It shows former Vice President Joe Biden with a 49.8 percent to 43.7 percent lead over President Donald Trump in a hypothetical 2020 matchup. The polls in the aggregate are from March 11 to April 7.
Biden is also leading Trump in polls used by FiveThirtyEight. He had a 5- to 6-percentage-point lead over the president in five polls conducted in the past week.
Swing state polling
• Pennsylvania: Biden had a 3.8% lead over Trump, according to the Real Clear Politics aggregate. In a poll added to FiveThirtyEight on March 27, Trump was leading Biden by 2%.
• Wisconsin: Biden had a 2.7% percent lead on Trump, according to Real Clear Politics polling ending on March 29. Biden had a similar size lead in the state, according to polls added to FiveThirtyEight a week ago.
• Michigan: Biden led Trump by 4.4% in the state in polling as of March 20, according to Real Clear Politics. The candidates were tied in a poll from five days ago on FiveThirtyEight.
• North Carolina: Biden led by 3.4% in the state, according to Real Clear Politics. It’s important to note the most recent polls used in the calculation are from Feb. 28. Biden also led by 2% on FiveThirtyEight — though that poll was from March 2.
• Texas: Trump led Biden by 2.6% at the end of February in the Real Clear Politics aggregate, while a FiveThirtyEight poll in early March had the president in front by 4% in the state.
• Georgia: Trump led Biden by 7.5% in early March, according to Real Clear Politics. However, Biden led by 2% in a poll last week, according to FiveThirtyEight.
• Florida: Biden barely leads Trump with a 0.4% edge in the state, according to Real Clear Politics. However, Biden leads by 6% in a poll from last week on FiveThirtyEight.
This story was originally published April 8, 2020 at 1:14 PM with the headline "Trump vs. Biden: Who has the early lead in election polls after Sanders drops out?."