South Florida

We’re now feeling this early tropical disturbance. Will the big events get washed out?

Tropical disturbance brings soggy weather to South Florida

A wet disturbance near the Bahamas and heading toward Florida brought rain to the Thursday morning commute and promises more for the weekend’s Fort Lauderdale Air Show and Sunfest concerts in West Palm Beach.
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A wet disturbance near the Bahamas and heading toward Florida brought rain to the Thursday morning commute and promises more for the weekend’s Fort Lauderdale Air Show and Sunfest concerts in West Palm Beach.

It’s a Sunfest weekend in downtown West Palm Beach. Also a Fort Lauderdale Air Show weekend.

Unfortunately, there isn’t going to be as much sun as you’d hope — unless your weekend getaway plans include Key West, where it’ll be hot and clear. And the air and sea across Fort Lauderdale and much of Broward and Miami-Dade counties will be mostly wet.

South Floridians already found that out with Thursday’s downpours during their commutes that turned roads slick as storms started to fire up, especially around Fort Lauderdale, Hollywood, Pembroke Pines and Davie, CBS4 meteorologist Lissette Gonzalez said. She also noted areas in North Miami-Dade such as Miami Gardens at Hard Rock Stadium, Aventura and Bay Harbor Islands were seeing storms.

Also, storms moved in over Miami Beach and downtown Miami, Gonzalez said.

Water could also douse Earth, Wind & Fire’s set at Sunfest Friday night. The musical festival in West Palm Beach runs through the weekend under a 90 percent chance of precipitation Thursday, Friday and Sunday, according to The Weather Channel.

Saturday shows a 50 percent chance of mostly evening rain and thunderstorms, perhaps owing to the positioning of a wet disturbance that Thursday morning was near the northwestern Bahamas and heading toward Florida. The National Hurricane Center released its 10 a.m. advisory on the disturbance, which is now given a 10 percent chance of developing over the next five days.

The new figure represents a dip in probability from the 20 percent chance forecast on Wednesday.

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The Sunfest weather situation is similar in Fort Lauderdale for the Air Show, which runs Saturday and Sunday. One of the main attractions, the GEICO Skytypers, a vintage airshow performance squadron that plans to fly six WWII SNJ aircraft, will contend with a near complete rain coverage Thursday and 80 percent chance Friday and Sunday and 50 percent Saturday.

As for the disturbance, the trough of low pressure that extends from South Florida northeastward over the western Atlantic for a few hundred miles continues to produce disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity, the hurricane center said in its current alert.

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NOAA’s tropical weather outlook map for May 2, 2019. National Hurricane Center

The good news is that significant development of this system isn’t likely as it moves northwestward, and then northward over the Florida peninsula and near the southeast United States coast Friday into Saturday.

That’s because the blob of wet weather will likely merge with a frontal system later this weekend, the hurricane center said.

“Regardless of development, locally heavy rains are possible over portions of the Bahamas and the Florida peninsula during the next day or so,” the hurricane center said.

The department’s next special tropical weather outlook will be issued by 10 a.m. Friday.

Ever heard of the term 'supercell' but didn't know what it was? Learn about these powerful storms responsible for most tornadoes in the United States and other thunderstorms in this video from NWS.

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Miami Herald Real Time/Breaking News reporter Howard Cohen, a 2017 Media Excellence Awards winner, has covered pop music, theater, health and fitness, obituaries, municipal government and general assignment. He started his career in the Features department at the Miami Herald in 1991.
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