David J. Neal

David vs. Goliath: College football predictions for Week 11

MIAMI HERALD STAFF

David’s record

Overall

Pct.

Vs. spread

Pct.

Last week

4-2

.667

2-4

.333

Season

47-15

.758

32-27-3

.542

Goliath’s record

Overall

Pct.

Vs. spread

Pct.

Last week

4-2

.667

2-4

.333

Season

45-17

.732

30-29-3

.508

Charlotte at FIU, FIU by 19

David: Weird schedule that, until the season finale against Western Kentucky, serves FIU the punks via home delivery and while setting up Game of Death/Karate Island on the road. Charlotte’s a third-year program in its first year of FBS play. Next.

FIU 46, Charlotte 12

Goliath Can’t explain how listless the Panthers were last week in their double-digit loss last week against FAU for the Shula Trophy. Charlotte can’t be much better than UTEP and Old Dominion, who FIU crushed in home romps.

FIU 45, Charlotte 17

LSU at Alabama, Alabama by 6

David: Here we go. Bama held LSU super back Leonard Fournette to 3.8 per carry last year, but Fournette’s better and coming off a bye week. I see Alabama owning the line of scrimmage when it owns the ball. Not many stoppages of either offense or the clock (besides first downs). Home field carries it.

Alabama 31, LSU 28

Goliath: Tigers are rested as this will be their first road game in six weeks. LSU defensive coordinator Kevin Steele was the linebackers coach last season, so he knows the Tide’s offense inside and out. Last year, Bama won in the final minutes, but this year it’s payback Cajun style.

LSU 27, Alabama 21

FAU at Western Kentucky, Western by 24

David: An FAU sugar crash after the high of beating rival FIU meets Western’s desire for revenge as well as perfection in Conference USA. FAU’s got the pass rush, secondary and run game with freshman Trey Rodriguez to slow Western. I said slow, not stop.

Western Kentucky 49, FAU 24

Goliath: Fort Lauderdale product Brandon Doughty, who leads the Hilltoppers’ potent offense, is the real deal. Except for the LSU game, he has led them to at least 49 points in five games in a row. The Owls’ season was made last week with their win over rival FIU, so I don’t expect them to bring their A or B game.

Western Kentucky 54, FAU 21

Vanderbilt at Florida, Florida by 21 1/2

David: Vandy’s the Commodores. Clearly, we’re talking less Commodores as in “Brickhouse,” than, say, Commodore Stanley Poindexter. Because these Commodores don’t score – 79 points in seven games vs. FBS opponents. Florida in a Moonwalk.

Florida 34, Vandy 8

Goliath: Not sure Gators will be focused as they basically have clinched the SEC East. Expect Vandy to dial up a trick play or two and make this game closer than most people would expect.

Florida 31, Vandy 16

Virginia at Miami, Miami by 7 1/2

David: Don’t be surprised if the zebras drop enough yellow flags on the Hurricanes to make Sun Life Stadium look like Talladega Speedway. They’ll have a tough time keeping up with the big plays against Virginia, 118th nationally in pass efficiency defense and 120th in turnover margin.

Miami 38, Virginia 21

Goliath: Cavs’ coach Mike London is Al Golden-based on his meager results versus anyone with a pulse. If QB Brad Kaaya returns, he has to love what he sees in a secondary with only one interception all season.

Miami 38, Virginia 20

Florida State at Clemson, Clemson by 12 1/2

David: One of Saturday’s two on-their-faces College Football Playoff shapers. Statistically, Clemson almost sweeps the comparisons, aside from FSU committing only two turnovers this season. FSU keeps it close until the fourth, when Clemson breaks the Noles’ backs with a late turnover.

Clemson 38, Florida State 28

Goliath: Heavyweight battle with two Heisman hopefuls, Clemson QB Deshaun Watson vs. FSU RB Dalvin Cook. That matchup could be a draw, but I just can’t lay double digits with a team that FSU has owned the past three years. Jimbo Fisher will play to win and just might pull off the upset.

Clemson 31, Florida State 28

  Comments