David J. Neal

David vs. Goliath: College football predictions for Week 5

MIAMI HERALD STAFF

David’s record

Overall

Pct.

Vs. spread

Pct.

Last week

7-1

.875

4-3-1

.571

Season

23-9

.719

15-14-3

.517

Goliath’s record

Overall

Pct.

Vs. spread

Pct.

Last week

6-2

.750

3-4-1

.429

Season

23-9

.719

14-15-3

.483

Memphis at South Florida, Friday, Memphis by 8 1/2

David: Memphis put up 50.7 points per game in three games against FBS opponents. South Florida has scored 31 points, total, in two games against FBS opponents. Watch USF coach Willie Taggart’s teams and it’s hard to believe he played quarterback. Memphis 40, South Florida 24

Goliath: If you tell me I get the home dog, off a bye with revenge and the better defense I’ll take it any day of the week. Memphis 35 South Florida 34

FIU at University of Massachusetts, UMass by 3

David: The line swung on this game with suspicious speed in the first 24 hours, from FIU by 3 to the current one. Take the over, avoid the sides. I’m seeing UMass score quickly, FIU score more slowly and getting a big play late by a defensive end. FIU 38, UMass 34

Goliath: UMass has 17 Florida kids on its roster who will be sky high for this game. If that isn’t enough, the Panthers are without their top three safeties and face a UMass QB, Blake Frohnapfel, who likes to push the ball down the field. UMass 37, FIU 24

Alabama at Georgia, Georgia by 2 1/2

David: How many times since 2008 has Little Nicky lost two in a row? A lot of “Roll Tide” along the lines on each side of the ball. Saban won’t mention the line to his team. He might even tell them to ignore it while knowing they’ll see it and seethe. Alabama 33, Georgia 17

Goliath: RB Nick Chubb is the real deal, but Tide run D is ranked No.4 in the country, giving up just 2.0 YPC. If it comes down to coaching, I won’t insult anyone’s intelligence as to who has the edge. Alabama 30, Georgia 28

Mississippi at Florida, Mississippi by 7 1/2

David: Don’t eat the cheese, Florida. Not buying that The Swamp is Spurrier-Tebow-era scary again. But — and it has been a long time since anybody’s said this — the Gators could be a trap game for Ole Miss. Ole Miss 34, Florida 21

Goliath: The Gator secondary will be tested by Ole Miss gunslinger Chad Kelly, but the home field mojo seems to be working and the pressure of being a top-5 team might be too much for hotty toddy to handle. Mississippi 24, Florida 20

Florida State at Wake Forest, FSU by 19

David: This edition of the Seminoles looks like New FSU instead of FSU Classic. Still, much like New Coke was (ask your parents, kids), it’s still better than the Winn-Dixie brand represented by Wake Forest. FSU 37, Wake Forest 14

Goliath: Even if the Demon Deacons were 100 percent healthy they would face long odds against a Seminole D allowing just 256 YPG. If QB Jon Wolford is unable to play or finish, this game could get ugly. Florida State 38, Wake Forest 7

Notre Dame at Clemson, Notre Dame by 1

David: A raucous Saturday night game at home underdog Clemson, which can’t wait to get itself a piece of Irish after a bye week. This might have Brian Kelly telling his AD, “Don’t ever do that to me again.” Clemson 27, Notre Dame 24

Goliath: Each of the Fighting Irish wins against Texas, Virginia and Georgia Tech not so impressive after they lost the following week. Tigers have 16 days to prepare and are a “Sterling” 18-2 SU at home the past 20 games. Clemson 26, Notre Dame 21

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