David J. Neal

David vs. Goliath: College football predictions for Week 4


David’s record



Vs. spread


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Goliath’s record



Vs. spread


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Vanderbilt at Mississippi, Mississippi by 25

David: Vandy fed at the FCS buffet for 47 points against Austin Peay last week, but managed only 12 against Western Kentucky, which gives you more points for showing up than the SAT does. Ole Miss, still floating after beating Alabama, still gets it done, for themselves if not bettors. Mississippi 41, Vanderbilt 24

Goliath: Everyone knows in the Northern Hemisphere that Ole Miss beat Alabama last week. What people haven't been paying attention to is the Commodores have been getting better on offense and defense. Back door cover time baby! Mississippi 38 Vanderbilt 17

FIU at Louisiana Tech, LA Tech by 14.5

David: That line’s close to morbidly obese, like The Learning Channel documentary fat. Tech running back Kenneth Dixon brings more boogie than bulk against a fast FIU defense that has problems with power backs. Both teams’ offenses have expanded into exciting. Lots of passes, plays, points. Louisiana Tech 31, FIU 27

Goliath: Line is probably inflated here because La Tech almost beat Kansas State in Manhatten and FIU went through the motions last week. Golden Panther defensive schemes and great CB's could pick off former Gator QB Jeff Driskel two or more times. Louisiana Tech 34 FIU 27

Texas A&M at Arkansas, A&M by 7

David: Injuries dictate the Razorbacks must work Bret Bielema’s beloved ground game with a backup running back. The Aggies lead the nation in tackles for loss, sacks, are No. 4 in net punting and No. 7 in punt returns. That’s field position. Long way to plow for points unless A&M keeps committing two turnovers per game.

Texas A&M 30, Arkansas 17

Goliath: Hogs are down 3 starting WR's and their best RB for this game while Aggies defense under new DC John Chavis and the nations top sack leader Myles Garrett looks formidable.

Texas A&M 45, Arkansas 27

Mississippi State at Auburn, Auburn by 2

David: Auburn’s 116th in turnover margin, so Gus Malzahn gives redshirt freshman Sean White (Fort Lauderdale University School) his first start. Know the best thing to support a neophyte quarterback? A run defense ranked higher than 123rd. And Mississippi State quarterback Dak Prescott loves him some Tiger meat.

Mississippi State 40, Auburn 24

Goliath: Ft Lauderdale native Sean White steps in as the starting QB for a Tigers squad that needs an accurate passer and leader. I think he's the guy who could turn their season and 0-8 ATS run around.

Auburn 31, Mississippi State 24

FAU at Charlotte, FAU by 11

David: Charlotte’s "Welcome to Conference USA" came taped to the 73-point boulder Middle Tennessee State dropped on the 49ers head. This will be the third-year program’s third FBS game. No matter whether Driskel the Younger, Jason, or Jacquez Johnson is at quarterback for FAU, don’t expect another Buffalo.

FAU 44, Charlotte 16

Goliath: Five turnovers in the Owls loss to Buffalo was the difference. With dual threat QB Jaquez Johnson expected back the Owls offense should start clicking again vs this first year Division I program.

FAU 41, Charlotte 24

Central Florida at South Carolina, South Carolina by 14.5

David: After lifting UCF from mundane to averaging nine wins per season from 2009-2014, Knights coach George O’Leary deserves the buffer of one sub-.500 season. This game won’t pepper spray the hounds at O’Leary’s head. South Carolina rebounds after ugly losses to Kentucky and Georgia.

South Carolina 38, UCF 13

Goliath: Gamecocks have playmakers RB Brandon Wilds and WR Pharoh Cooper. All of the Knights playmakers on offense are either injured or left the team. Time for HC George O'Leary to work on an exit strategy.

South Carolina 31, UCF 10

Tennessee at Florida, Tennessee by 1

David: Tennessee’s finally started down Rebuilding Road after panhandling along the side of it for way too long. They were farther along than the Gators before Florida coach Jim McElwain suspended sort-of-starting quarterback Treon Harris and starting cornerback Jalen Tabor.

Tennessee 31, Florida 17

Goliath: At one time this was an epic battle. Last years game was a 10-9 snore fest. The Gators have the #11 defense but that #78 offense won't be able to overcome a Volunteer squad looking for that first signature victory.

Tennessee 20, Florida 17

TCU at Texas Tech, TCU by 6.5

David: Texas Tech games epitomize wild, wide open West Texas. They average 54.3 points per game and give up 29.7. TCU puts up 49.7 points per game while quarterback Trayvone Boykin completes 65.7 percent of his passes. Tech gives up a first down on 50.0 percent of third downs. First stop wins.

TCU 56, Texas Tech 41

Goliath: Horned Frogs demolished the Red Raiders 82-27 last year. Your defense can't improve that much in one year. Tech QB Mahomes is good. TCU QB Boykin and his WR's are special! A barnburner in West Texas.

are down 3 starting WR's and their best RB for this game while Aggies defense under new DC John Chavis and the nations top sack leader Myles Garrett looks formidable.

TCU 54, Texas Tech 35