Hurricane

Storm system in Gulf has ‘high chance’ of becoming tropical storm this week

Forecasters are keeping an eye on two storm systems — one in the Gulf of Mexico that has a 90-percent chance of becoming a tropical cyclone and another off the Windward Islands that is unlikely to affect the U.S.
Forecasters are keeping an eye on two storm systems — one in the Gulf of Mexico that has a 90-percent chance of becoming a tropical cyclone and another off the Windward Islands that is unlikely to affect the U.S. National Hurricane Center

A tropical system in the Gulf of Mexico has a “high chance” of becoming a depression or tropical storm this week, and it could potentially impact the U.S., the National Hurricane Center said Sunday.

Labeled by forecasters as “Disturbance 2,” the low-pressure system has a 90-percent chance of becoming a tropical cyclone — a catch-all term for tropical depressions, storms and hurricanes — in the next five days and a 70-percent chance over the next two days, said NHC forecaster John Cangialosi.

The system, which was tracked just southwest of Cuba, could potentially affect parts of the U.S., but Cangialosi said it’s “too soon to say where or exactly what they will be at this time.”

Surface pressures are falling near the system, which may be a harbinger for more serious developments. "[It's] not something that's looking imminent for the time being," he cautioned.

Less than two weeks after the start of hurricane season, the NHS is also monitoring — and has issued advisories for — a potential tropical cyclone near the Windward Islands. That one isn't a threat to the U.S. but is expected to move near the southern Windward Islands on Monday or Tuesday night.

“What you could see, for example, is the potential tropical cyclone...could become a tropical depression and then, if it keeps strengthening, could become a tropical storm and maybe later on become a hurricane.” That system has a 70-percent chance of becoming a cyclone in the next two and five days.

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