Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Alex Smith (11) runs during an NFL football game against the San Diego Chargers in San Diego. Smith is widely considered average when it comes to NFL quarterbacks, though that's not necessarily a bad thing. He's consistent and rarely makes mistakes. But when it comes to the playoffs, he becomes an entirely different player, bordering on elite.
Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Alex Smith (11) runs during an NFL football game against the San Diego Chargers in San Diego. Smith is widely considered average when it comes to NFL quarterbacks, though that's not necessarily a bad thing. He's consistent and rarely makes mistakes. But when it comes to the playoffs, he becomes an entirely different player, bordering on elite. Rick Scuteri ASSOCIATED PRESS
Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Alex Smith (11) runs during an NFL football game against the San Diego Chargers in San Diego. Smith is widely considered average when it comes to NFL quarterbacks, though that's not necessarily a bad thing. He's consistent and rarely makes mistakes. But when it comes to the playoffs, he becomes an entirely different player, bordering on elite. Rick Scuteri ASSOCIATED PRESS

Greg Cote

January 12, 2017 8:15 PM

One favored home team will lose in playoffs’ this weekend. Hint: It won’t be the Patriots

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About Greg Cote

Greg Cote

@gregcote

Greg Cote has been a Miami Herald sports columnist since 1995 and also writes the Random Evidence blog and NFL predictions along with his notorious sidekick the Upset Bird. He has covered Hurricanes football (1984-88), the Dolphins (1990-91) and major events including Super Bowls, NBA Finals, World Series, Stanley Cup, Olympics and World Cup.
Read Greg Cote's Random Evidence blog at http://blogs.herald.com/random_evidence/