The Upset Bird is preening insufferably. Amazing he can take wing at all wearing that ridiculous crown. Hey, in this business you gotta brag when the chance is there. Plenty of weeks knock me flat, so when I return the punch, I'm-a let you know. Did great both ways last week, including another Upset of the Week bull's-eye with Lions over Redskins. (``Detraawwk!'') Get on the bandwagon and expect a wild ride. I'm driving the football version of the bus in the movie Speed. (``Sandra Bullaawwk!'').

Last week: 13-3 overall (.813); 11-4-1 vs. spread (.733).

Season: 34-14 (.709); 23-23-2 (.500) vs. spread.

This week's selections:

When: 4:05 p.m. Sunday (CBS)

Line: MIA by 2 Cote's pick: BUF 34-31

Safest bet here isn't who wins or covers; safest bet is high side of the 37-point over/under. Chad Henne, in first career start, must feast on a Buffs secondary missing CB Leodis McKelvin and with both safeties banged up. Trent Edwards likewise figures to attack a suspect Miami pass-D with Dolphin-killer Lee Evans and sulking Terrell OwensBison edge might be RB Marshawn Lynch back from suspension, while Miami could miss OLB Joey Porter to a hamstring. Also: Miami is 3-14 against the spread in past 17 home games. Sorry, Dolfans. Upset!

When: 4:05 p.m. Sunday

Line: NO by 6 ½ Cote's pick: NO 28-20

Tough call for the GOTW panel, vs. Ravens-Pats, Favre vs. Pack and even Bolts-Pitt, but this is Week 4's only matchup of 3-0 teamsTwo celebrated QBs feather the marquee. Drew Brees gets the pregame treatment from Dan Marino/CBS, while Mark Sanchez is the second coming of Broadway Joe (at least according to starving Jets NYJ defense has been stout, but Planes have three less-than-healthy CBs facing a Brees-led offense whose 120 points are the most in the NFL after three games since 1968. Uh oh. Jets finally L-O-S-E!

When: 1 p.m. Sunday

Line: CIN by 5 ½ Cote's pick: CLE 24-23

``Aawwk!'' croons the Upset Bird. ``Cleveland Braawwk!'' Cincy just stunned Pittsburgh and has Ravens next, so this is classic sandwich game Also thinking Earthtones' moribund offense gets a big, timely boost in QB switch from Brady Quinn to Derek Anderson. Dice flying on a hunch! ``Tumbling Dice,'' adds U-Bird, effecting a Mick Jagger swagger. ``Rolling Staawwk!''

When: 1 p.m. Sunday

Line: WAS by 7 Cote's pick: WAS 26-10

Today's recipe: A team that is winless and truly awful vs. a team bad enough to have been beaten by a team that had lost 19 in a row. Voila! Dog of the Week. Bucs give young QB Josh Johnson (not the Marlin) a turn at TB's dismal offense. Skins never a safe bet vs. spread in what should be a low-points game, but still like Washers covering because Tampa is that putrid.

LIONS (1-2) AT BEARS (2-1)

When: 1 p.m. Sunday

Line: CHI by 10 Cote's pick: CHI 24-16

Matthew Stafford last week became first rookie QB since Terry Bradshaw in 1970 to end a losing streak of 15-plus games. But let's not get greedy, Detroit! One win in a row is enough for now. Like Motown with points, though. Pandas at LB, and Lions 6-1 covering in past seven roadies.

RAIDERS (1-2) AT TEXANS (1-2)