College football: Joe vs. the Pro, Week 7

10/11/2013 12:00 AM

09/08/2014 6:54 PM

The Pro has gone six-straight weeks without a losing week against the spread, which he pointed out in an email is “almost impossible.” But, he noted, perhaps even more unlikely last week was that Florida International and South Florida both won. The Pro, Lee Sterling of ParamountSports.com, went 5-3 straight up and 4-4 against the spread last week while Joseph Goodman, the Herald’s college football columnist, was 6-2 straight up and 3-5 against the spread. Joe went five weeks in the black until the wheels fell off last week during Florida State’s demolition of Maryland. FSU and just about everyone else in Florida is off this week, which should give Joe even odds to lose big. Overall, Joe is 38-10 straight up and 29-17-2 against the spread. The Pro enters this week 35-13 straight up and 33-13-2 against the spread. On to the picks!

Florida at LSU, LSU by 7

• Joe’s pick: I like the feel-good story that is UF quarterback Tyler Murphy. Feel-good stories don’t play very well in Death Valley. LSU 28, UF 20

• Pro’s pick: Gators like to control the ball on offense, #1 in the country with 37.39 time of possession but Tigers strong defensive line won’t allow it. Tyler Murphy gets a dose of what playing a top five team on the road is all about. LSU 31, Florida 13

UAB at Florida International, UAB by 7

• Joe’s pick: Even UAB can’t screw this up. And how bad is Southern Miss? UAB 26, FIU 15

• Pro’s pick: I’m not sure FIU’s win vs. a team last week on a 16 game losing streak is a sign of any progress. Visitor is 11-1 ATS in last 12 Golden Panther games. UAB 35, FIU 21

South Florida at Connecticut, UConn by 5

• Joe’s pick: The Bulls scored 26 points last week in its victory against Cincinnati without actually scoring an offensive touchdown. USF’s luck runs out on the road. UConn 27, USF 21

• Pro’s pick: Bulls won last week because Cincinnati self destructed. Huskies fired their coach and start a true freshman QB who might end up being the real deal. UConn 20, South Florida 13

Marshall at Florida Atlantic, Marshall by 13

• Joe’s pick: Marshall coach Doc Holliday will try his best to run up the score. Marshall 40, FAU 20

• Pro’s pick: Thundering Herd isn’t the team you want to back with a couple small RB’s that fumble a lot. Owls have the better defense and a QB Jacquez Johnson who is now their unquestioned leader. Marshall 27, FAU 20

Pittsburgh at Virginia Tech, Virginia Tech by 9

• Joe’s pick: Swagger is back in Blacksburg, and that’s good for college football. Virginia Tech 30, Pittsburgh 25

• Pro’s pick: Hokie QB Logan Thomas 38-53 the last two weeks with four TD passes is finally settling in. Pittsburgh has a QB with no mobility, Tom Savage who will have trouble against a D that devours QB’s dressed as statues. Virginia Tech 30, Pittsburgh 13

Missouri at Georgia, UGA 8.5

• Joe’s pick: Feels like a letdown scenario for the Dawgs after last week’s wildness. Georgia 33, Missouri 27

• Pro’s pick: QB Aaron Murray has lost all of his starting WR’s and both RB’s to injury so his window to complete passes got that much smaller. Missouri QB James Franklin finally healthy and firing on all cylinders with 13 TD passes and 278 rushing yards. Upset of the week! Missouri 34, Georgia 31

Baylor at Kansas State, Baylor by 17

• Joe’s pick: Hard to believe that Kansas State was one win away from the national championship last season. Meanwhile, Baylor running back Lache Seastrunk is averaging 11.1 yards per carry. Baylor 42, Kansas State 22

• Pro’s pick: Trends say to bet Kansas State with revenge and Bears recent history of 0-3 ATS as a road favorite. Talent on hand says to bet the Bears as Wildcats are without their top two WR’s. Baylor 50, Kansas State 23

Oregon at Washington, Oregon by 14

• Joe’s pick: Oregon is the best team in the country and Marcus Mariota is my Heisman frontrunner. That said, two touchdowns is a lot of points in Washington’s new house with Washington wearing those crazy new helmets. Oregon 45, Washington 35

• Pro’s pick: Ducks have won 9 straight SU and ATS in this series. Huskies have finally closed the gap with strong recruiting classes the last three years. Oregon 42, Washington 36

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