College football: Joe vs. the Pro, Week 11

11/09/2012 12:00 AM

09/08/2014 6:08 PM

It has been a banner season for Joe against the spread. For the Pro, Lee Sterling of ParamountSports.com, it has been business as usual.

If you want to wager a little lunch money on college football, look no further than the Pro for advice. The guy is scorching hot. The Pro went 8-0 straight up and 5-3 against the spread last week. For the season, he’s 60-20 straight up and 43-32 against the spread.

Amazingly, Joe Goodman, the Herald’s national college football columnist, went 8-0 straight up and 6-2 against the spread last week. Joe has gone 6-2 against the spread in consecutive weeks.

But take caution, friends. Put no stock in Joe’s sudden lucky run of winners. A feeling of dread looms above Joe’s keyboard each time he sits down to analyze games. For the season, Joe is 59-21 straight up and 40-35 against the spread.

This week’s picks:

Louisville at Syracuse (Louisville by 3)

Joe: Arkansas should have only one candidate for its opening at head coach at the end of the season: Louisville coach Charlie Strong. Louisville 38, Syracuse 21

Pro: The Cardinals have allowed Cincinnati, Pittsburgh and North Carolina to score at least 30 points each and somehow are still 9-0. The dream ends Saturday. Syracuse 34, Louisville 27

Miami at Virginia (Virginia by 1)

Joe: Yes, I think the Canes should forfeit their potential place in a bowl game to help the future of the program. No, I don’t think it’s fair to the current players. Are we clear? Miami 35, Virginia 31

Pro: I’m not sold on Cavs’ two-QB system. Duke Johnson finally healthy after dashing for 217 all-purpose yards last week. The dog is an amazing 7-1 ATS in this series. Miami 31, Virginia 27

Texas A&M at Alabama (Alabama by 13.5)

Joe: Alabama had its big scare last week. Alabama 45, Texas A&M 17

Pro: Contrast in style, Aggies’ hurry-up against Tide’s old-fashioned power running. Call me a purist. Alabama 38, Texas A&M 20

Notre Dame at Boston College (Notre Dame by 18.5)

Joe: The Irish flirted with disaster last week but Boston College is downright terrible this season. Notre Dame 36, Boston College 20

Pro: Eagles QB Chase Rettig can wing it to the tune of 285 yards per game but in his only test against a Top 20 defense, FSU, he mustered a measly 129 passing yards. Romper-room special. Notre Dame 39, Boston College 13

Kansas State at Texas Christian (Kansas State by 8)

Joe: Doesn’t matter if Collin Klein plays or not. Kansas State 30, TCU 20

Pro: Can’t lay points with Heisman leader Klein nursing a wrist injury. Frogs a healthy 5-2 ATS getting points at home since 2001. Kansas State 27, TCU 24

Central Florida at UTEP, (UCF 13.5)

Joe: UCF continues to roll through C-USA in its final season in the league. Beware Big East! UCF 42, UTEP 21

Pro: Knights could be distracted with huge game next week vs Tulsa. Miners had an extra week to prepare and will start unknown red shirt freshman QB Blaire “Silky” Sullivan. UCF 35, UTEP 23

Florida Atlantic at Western Kentucky (WKU by 16.5)

Joe: The Owls have improved steadily throughout the season. It’s a positive sign for the future. WKU 21, FAU 13

Pro: Hilltoppers’ defense has knocked five QBs out of games this year. Owls 6-6 statue Graham Wilbert could be the sixth. WKU 34, FAU 14

Louisiana-Lafayette at Florida (UF by 26.5)

Joe: Gator Growl fodder. UF 45, La.-Lafayette 14

Pro: Super sub Terrance Broadway growing into role accounted for five TDs last week in blowout win over rival Monroe. Sun Belt squads 21-7 ATS vs BCS schools a trend too strong to ignore. UF 35, La.-Lafayette 13

Joe vs. The Pro is a weekly college football feature that analyzes games and predicts the outcome against the spread. Sterling, a nationally respected numbers man, has been analyzing spreads for more than 20 years. Joe analyzes spreads in less than 20 seconds.

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