A new Quinnipiac poll released Friday shows that Hillary Clinton is trouncing Bernie Sanders in Florida less than three weeks before the state’s presidential primary.
The former secretary of state leads Sanders 59 percent to 33 percent among likely Democratic primary voters. Women back Clinton 69 to 24 percent, while men go for Sanders 47 to 43.
“This has been a turbulent political year, but the Florida Democratic primary looks like a blowout. With her 26-point lead over Sen. Bernie Sanders, Secretary Hillary Clinton would have to undergo a political meltdown of historic proportions to lose this contest,” said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll.
The poll shows some potential for movement toward Sanders — but likely not enough to change the outcome. The poll showed 8 percent of likely Democratic voters were undecided and 17 percent said they might change their mind.
Sanders does best among voters ages 18-44, who back him 51 to 39 percent. Clinton holds solid leads among middle-aged and older voters. Those voters ages 45-64 back Clinton 64 to 28 percent, and she leads by an even greater margin among seniors.
This has been a turbulent political year, but the Florida Democratic primary looks like a blowout.
Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll
The poll was conducted Feb. 21-24 among 476 likely Democratic voters. It has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.5 percentage points.
Florida's primary is March 15, but voting by mail is already under way, and early voting starts next week — Miami-Dade on Monday, Broward on March 5.
Clinton has spent far more time in Florida than Sanders. The Vermont senator has come to Florida for just one event: the National Urban League national conference in Fort Lauderdale last July. Either Clinton or her husband, Bill, have come to South Florida for multiple fundraisers, and she held a public event at Broward College in October. Clinton also announced in Miami in July her support for ending the Cuban embargo and also spoke at the Urban League event.
Bill Clinton will speak in Miami Gardens on Sunday. The Sanders campaign has not announced any events for South Florida, but the two candidates are scheduled to face off at a debate in Miami on March 9.
A Quinnipiac poll released this week about the Republican primary in Florida showed Donald Trump leading Marco Rubio 44 to 28 percent.