August 25, 2014

Democrats plan post-primary push for unity

The unity push will include rallies on Thursday that will feature gubernatorial challengers Charlie Crist and Nan Rich.

This year, the Florida Democratic Party is determined not to be the circular firing squad party.

Internal dissension and apathy have helped keep Democrats out of the Governor’s Mansion for 16 years. So when the primary votes are counted Tuesday night after a particularly low-key Democratic primary for governor, party leaders intend to push aggressively for unity.

Polls are open from 7 a.m. to 7 p.m.

Democratic front-runner Charlie Crist of St. Petersburg and underdog Nan Rich of Broward County have agreed to appear together Thursday at unity rallies in Orlando and Fort Lauderdale, along with both Democratic candidates for attorney general, George Sheldon and Perry Thurston. Assorted other party leaders are expected to be on hand, including Democratic National Committee Chairwoman Debbie Wasserman Schultz and U.S. Sen. Bill Nelson, who regularly annoyed Crist‘s allies this year by hinting he might jump into the race for governor.

The rallies represent the party’s most aggressive effort to heal divisions from a primary in years, as Democratic strategists understand they need as much enthusiasm as they can get from the Democratic base if they hope to overcome the traditional turnout advantage Republicans enjoy in non-presidential elections.

“We want everybody’s help. We need everybody’s help,” Crist said Monday, stopping at a campaign office in Tampa, part of a five-city, get-out-the-vote swing that ended in Fort Lauderdale.

Democrat Alex Sink had no serious primary rival before she narrowly lost the governor’s race to Republican Rick Scott in 2010, but the primary between Jim Davis and Rod Smith in 2006 was so bitter that it took three weeks for former state Sen. Smith to publicly endorse the Tampa congressman. In 2002, Janet Reno did not even concede the primary to Bill McBride for a week because of problems counting the votes in South Florida.

Almost no one expects similar suspense from this year’s primary. Rich never managed to raise enough money to air TV ads and Scott has been spending millions of dollars attacking Crist as if he already were the Democratic nominee.

Statewide, early voting has been light.

As of Monday, 1.1 million pre-Election Day ballots had been cast — 73 percent by mail and almost 27 percent through early voting, which ended Sunday.

If the total pre-Election Day vote accounts for about half of the total ballots cast, the primary is on pace to have a low turnout rate of about 19 percent. The average primary turnout in midterm elections has been 22 percent since 1998. That year, it was a paltry 17 percent.

“I take nothing for granted,” Crist said, brushing off suggestions that his campaign would look weak if he failed to defeat Rich, the cash-strapped former state senator, by a huge margin.

Rich continued campaigning doggedly despite the odds. In an email to supporters, she urged volunteers to help out on phone banks.

“I’m ready to give you four years of a governor committed to Democratic values, but I need you to give me a couple of hours today and tomorrow,” she said in the message. “In just two hours of phone calls, you can have as much of an impact on the race as the mega-donors paying for my opponents’ negative advertising.”

Rich has promised to support whoever wins the Democratic nomination, and Broward County Democratic Chairman Mitch Ceasar said he has little doubt her supporters will get behind Crist should he win.

“Anyone making the comparison would realize that our Democratic nominee will be a lot better on his worst day for us than Rick Scott would be on his best day,” Ceasar said.

The bigger concern, he said, is whether Scott will succeed in pushing down Democratic turnout by spending tens of millions of dollars on negative ads. Otherwise, he said, the Democratic enthusiasm gap should be much less of a problem this year than in prior years.

“We’ve had Jeb Bush and we had Charlie Crist, and they were both difficult to beat for various reasons,” Ceasar said. “But Rick Scott is a much better target.”

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