Politics

October 27, 2012

Graphic: Miami-Dade County Poll

Here’s a deeper examination of likely Miami-Dade voters’ views of the presidential race — and a look at some other issues important to them.

If the presidential election were today, who would get your vote?

2012 Miami-Dade County Presidential Poll

Obama 52%
Romney 43%
Undecided 5%
Obama Romney Undecided Sex Male 47% 47% 6% Female 56% 40% 4% Party Democrat 90% 7% 3% Republican 8% 87% 5% Independent 37% 53% 10% Race/Ethnicity White 64% 30% 6% Black 95% 2% 3% Hispanic 33% 62% 5% Hispanic Cuban 19% 76% 5% Non-Cuban 56% 39% 5% Age 18-34 63% 33% 4% 35-49 51% 45% 4% 50-64 54% 41% 5% 65+ 47% 47% 6%

But in 2008...

Barack Obama’s current nine-percentage point lead over Mitt Romney in Miami-Dade County is a smaller margin than Obama’s 16-point win over John McCain in 2008.

2008 Miami-Dade County Election Results

Obama 58%
McCain 42%

Key Issues

In your opinion, which of these is the most important problem facing Miami-Dade County today?

  • 36% The economy and unemployment
  • 16% Corruption in county government
  • 12% Crime and drugs
  • 11% Quality of public schools
  • 8% The cost of insurance
  • 7% High property taxes
  • 5% The housing and mortgage crisis
  • 2% Traffic congestion
  • 3% Other/Not Sure

Issue bonds to fund public school facilities’ modernization/construction

Support 57%
Oppose 19%
Undecided 24%

Impose term limits on county commissioners

61%
13%
26%

Require super-majority to move Urban Development Boundary

37%
19%
44%

Change standards to create new cities

33%
22%
45%

Raise tax rate to fund animal services programs

55%
25%
20%

Use public funding to add a roof to Dolphins stadium

16%
69%
15%

Should pensions and benefits to public employees be cut or are they fair?

Cut 37%
Fair 39%
Undecided 24%

Absentee Ballots

Allow only those with medical or travel reasons to vote by absentee ballot

Support 45%
Oppose 46%
Undecided 9%
Support Oppose Undecided Sex Male 50% 42% 8% Female 41% 50% 9% Party Democrat 38% 53% 9% Republican 56% 34% 10% Independent 42% 50% 8% Race/Ethnicity White 34% 60% 6% Black 21% 63% 16% Hispanic 58% 34% 8%

Gambling Resorts

Change Florida law to allow destination gambling resorts in Miami-Dade County

Support 48%
Oppose 39%
Undecided 13%
Support Oppose Undecided Sex Male 54% 38% 8% Female 43% 40% 17% Party Democrat 48% 39% 13% Republican 46% 42% 12% Independent 50% 37% 13% Race/Ethnicity White 51% 36% 13% Black 38% 47% 15% Hispanic 50% 39% 11%

Cuba Foreign Policy

President Obama’s policies regarding relations between the U.S. and Cuba

Support 37%
Oppose 43%
Undecided 20%
Support Oppose Undecided Sex Male 36% 47% 17% Female 38% 39% 23% Party Democrat 58% 21% 21% Republican 11% 72% 17% Independent 31% 46% 23% Race/Ethnicity White 41% 33% 26% Black 74% 4% 22% Hispanic 23% 60% 17% Cuban 14% 71% 15%

Travel to Cuba

Expand the rights of Americans to travel freely to Cuba

Support 49%
Oppose 33%
Undecided 18%
Support Oppose Undecided Sex Male 46% 42% 12% Female 51% 25% 24% Party Democrat 65% 16% 19% Republican 31% 54% 15% Independent 43% 37% 20% Race/Ethnicity White 64% 10% 26% Black 65% 13% 22% Hispanic 37% 50% 13% Cuban 29% 60% 11%

Note: The Mason-Dixon/Miami Herald poll was conducted Oct. 22-24 by telephone in English and Spanish. It included 625 likely voters in Miami-Dade County. The poll's margin of error was four percentage points. Figures may not add up to 100 percent due to rounding.

Miami Herald Staff

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