Dolphins free agency: Greg Jennings of old – or an old Greg Jennings?

Greg Jennings’ age and injury history make him risky, but the receiver thrived in Green Bay under now-Dolphins coach Joe Philbin.

03/06/2013 12:01 AM

03/06/2013 6:58 PM

Greg Jennings believes in his smellf. Just check out his hilarious Old Spice ads.

But do NFL franchises believe in him over the long haul?

If Jennings – Green Bay’s star wideout – were two years younger with a clean medical history, he might be the most sought-after player, at any position, in this year’s free agency class. (Or, more likely, the Packers would not have let him reach the open market to begin with.)

But this isn’t 2011. He’s coming off back-to-back injury-shortened seasons – playing in just eight games (starting five) last year, the fewest of his career.

And he turns 30 in September, which for some receivers, might as well be 50.

Yet he’s in line for one last mega payday. He’s among the top options at his position – and a possible Dolphins target when free agency opens Tuesday.

But there’s a question that should give any general manager pause: Will we get the Jennings of 2010, when he had 12 touchdown catches and more than 1,200 yards receiving? Or the Jennings of 2012, when a sports hernia derailed a season that featured career lows in catches (36) and yards (366)?

“You notice it with age,” said retired Dolphins wideout O.J. McDuffie, now an analyst on 940 WINZ. “The older we get, the harder it is for us to come back from injury.”

McDuffie speaks from experience. He led the NFL in receptions in 1998. But two years later, he was out of the league. McDuffie caught just 22 passes after his 30th birthday.

AGE NOT JUST A NUMBER

Surely, age will factor in as Jeff Ireland mulls whether Jennings, a two-time Pro Bowl selection, deserves a mega, multi-year contract.

“Worth is in the eye of the beholder,” said ESPN’s Bill Polian, a longtime personnel executive in the NFL. “Elite receivers, and I would categorize him as one, tend to begin to turn down about 33 or 34.

“How long a contract do you give him and what is his potential to continue to play at a high level, given the injury and age history? Each individual club has its own metrics that would tell him that.”

There are some in the league, Polian added, that wouldn’t even consider giving a player over 27 a long-term, big-money deal.

Others, however, are more willing to gamble, particularly if they are convinced that they’re one piece away from competing for a championship.

With four straight losing seasons, the Dolphins are probably further off. But wide receiver is their most glaring need.

And Jennings – an affable, fan-friendly star – has something else working in his favor: His most productive seasons came when Joe Philbin was his offensive coordinator.

“I love Joe; I had a great relationship with him,” Jennings told the team’s website during Super Bowl week. “He’s one of my favorite coaches.”

Jennings, a preacher’s son from Kalamazoo, Mich., averaged more than 1,100 yards and nine touchdowns in Philbin’s five seasons leading the Packers offense.

By comparison, the entire Dolphins’ stable of wide receivers managed just three receiving touchdowns last year.

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