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REAL ESTATE

Florida still leads nation in foreclosures

A rising proportion of fixed-rate home loans made to people with good credit are sinking into foreclosure.

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Associated Press

Florida continues to hold the dubious distinction of having the highest foreclosure rate in the nation.

One in four mortgages in Florida were either past due or in foreclosure, according to third-quarter data from the Mortgage Bankers Association. Nevada was close behind at 23 percent.

``The marketplace is still raging with lots of foreclosures,'' said Vincent B. Flor, an attorney with Siegfried, Rivera, Lerner, De La Torre & Sobel in Coral Gables, who represents condominium and homeowners' associations in foreclosure actions. ``Everyone is carrying around stacks and piles of [foreclosure] files. They're very, very busy.''

The foreclosure crisis likely will persist well into next year as high unemployment pushes more people out of homes, pulls down housing prices and raises concerns about the broader economic recovery.

The latest evidence was a report Thursday that a rising proportion of fixed-rate home loans made to people with good credit are sinking into foreclosure. That's a shift from last year, when riskier subprime loans drove the housing crisis.

The report from the Mortgage Bankers Association also found that nationally 14 percent of homeowners with a mortgage were either behind on payments or in foreclosure at the end of September. It was a record-high figure for the ninth straight quarter.

The data suggest the housing market and the broader recovery will remain under pressure from the surge in home-loan defaults, especially as unemployment keeps rising. Lost jobs are the main reason homeowners are falling behind on their mortgages.

After three years of plunging prices, the housing market started to rebound this summer. That lifted hopes for the overall economy. But analysts say there are too many foreclosed homes that have yet to be dumped on the market and expect further price declines.

WORST DAMAGE

The worst damage is still concentrated in the states hardest hit from the start: Florida, Nevada, California and Arizona. Together, they accounted for 43 percent of new foreclosures.

``There's no indication in this data that foreclosures are going to abate anytime soon,'' said Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody's Economy.com.

Driven by rising unemployment, prime fixed-rate loans to borrowers with good credit accounted for nearly 33 percent of new foreclosures last quarter. That compares with 21 percent a year ago. Many laid-off homeowners might survive on their savings for a while, but ``the longer the economic situation stays in place, the less likely they are to hold on,'' said Jay Brinkmann, chief economist at the Mortgage Bankers Association.

The Mortgage Bankers Association's quarterly survey of 44.6 million loans is considered the most authoritative report on mortgage delinquencies. A separate report, issued monthly by foreclosure listing service RealtyTrac, is based on courthouse filings.

After a typical recession, foreclosures peak about six months after the unemployment rate does. But the process could take longer this time, in part because loan-modification programs and new state laws have prolonged the process. Unemployment, now at 10.2 percent, isn't expected to peak until next spring or summer.

Another unknown is the effectiveness of the Obama administration plan to attack the foreclosure crisis. As of last month, about 20 percent of eligible borrowers, or more than 650,000 people, had signed up. But most of those enrolled have been chosen for trials lasting up to five months.

WAVE COMING

About 4 million homeowners were either in foreclosure or at least three months behind on their mortgage payments as of September, according to the mortgage bankers group. Even if some of them manage to stay in their homes, the market is likely to absorb a wave of new foreclosures. Those properties are concentrated in states like Florida and other already beleaguered areas.

Subprime loans with adjustable rates have fallen to 16 percent of new foreclosures, from 35 percent a year earlier. Loans backed by the Federal Housing Administration also show rising signs of trouble. More than 18 percent of FHA borrowers are at least one payment behind or in foreclosure.

Miami Herald business writer Martha Brannigan contributed to this report.

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